Match Info

USL League One

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Fitzpatrick Stadium (Portland, ME)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Portland Hearts of Pine		Charlotte Independence

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	3.4	2.98
	2.13	3.55	3.04
	2.24	3.40	3.00	Watch
	2.14	3.34	3.01
	2.39	3.5	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.39)	3.44 ↓ (3.5)	2.95 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Portland Hearts of Pine
41.9%

Draw
26.8%

Charlotte Independence
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

26.6%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26.6%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Hearts of Pine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Portland Hearts of Pine - Charlotte Independence Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Morse H. (G) 45. Coulibaly S. 66. Green K. 99. Kvifte N. H. 5. Lopez M. (C) 3. Messer N. 8. Poon-Angeron M. 22. Varela W. 7. Vinberg S. 77. Wada M. 10. Wright O.	28. Levy M. (G) 9. Bakero J. 6. Ciss O. 17. Dimick C. (C) 26. Marou S. 21. Moshobane T. 11. Ndiaye B. 2. Ngah F. 5. Romero J. 13. Sorenson A. 4. Spielman N.
Substitutes
47. James N. 80. Kamara J. 6. Langlois P. 23. Oladapo K. (G) 17. Reilly M. 11. Southern E. 19. Wright S.	14. Alcocer P. 99. Chaney C. 80. Jaime C. 15. Jauregui R. 31. Knight A. (G) 8. Moreno J. 3. Ousmanou P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Wada M. ⚽, Wright O. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Spielman N. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', Ciss O. 🟨,
63', Varela W. ↓, Kamara J. ↑,
66', Marou S. ↓, Chaney C. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Vinberg S. ⚽, Kamara J. (A),
74', Moshobane T. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
74', Bakero J. ↓, Jauregui R. ↑,
75', Ciss O. ↓, Jaime C. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Kamara J. ⚽, Wright O. (A),
81', Lopez M. 🟨,
83', Poon-Angeron M. 🟨,
83', Poon-Angeron M. ↓, Langlois P. ↑,
84', Kvifte N. H. ↓, Southern E. ↑,
86', Sorenson A. ↓, Ousmanou P. ↑,
87', 4 - 1, Wright O. ⚽, Southern E. (A),
88', Wright O. ↓, Reilly M. ↑,
88', Wada M. ↓, James N. ↑,
90+5', 4 - 2, Moreno J. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Charlotte Ind may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hearts of Pine won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portland Hearts of Pine
USL League One
24.08.25	Westchester SC - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:3 ✺
09.08.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Richmond Kickers	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	One Knoxville - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
25.07.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	3:2 penalties ✺
USL League One
19.07.25	Charlotte Independence - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTLWT
- Charlotte Independence
USL League One
20.08.25	Union Omaha - Charlotte Independence	4:1 ✺
15.08.25	Charlotte Independence - Westchester SC	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph	4:5 ✺
02.08.25	Charlotte Independence - Texoma	3:3 ✺
30.07.25	One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
19.07.25	Charlotte Independence - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:1

Upcoming Matches