Match Info

USL League One

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: American Legion Memorial Stadium (Charlotte, NC)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Charlotte Independence		Texoma

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.2	5.25
	1.41	4.3	5.7
	1.43	4.55	6.42
	1.47	4.43	5.87	Watch
	1.44	4.3	5.79	Watch
	1.44	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.47)	4.3 ↓ (4.43)	5.76 ↓ (5.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte Independence
63.1%

Draw
21.2%

Texoma
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

21%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

20%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Texoma have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Texoma than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Charlotte Independence - Texoma Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Levy M. (G) 17. Dimick C. (C) 4. Spielman N. 5. Romero J. 2. Ngah F. 11. Ndiaye B. 6. Ciss O. 15. Jauregui R. 8. Moreno J. 9. Bakero J. 26. Marou S.	13. Garcia J. (G) 2. Valentine R. 5. Calfo A. 12. Chavez J. 4. Kilwien P. 8. McCormick L. 3. Ramos O. 23. Baker T. 22. Perkins W. 10. Spengler P. 35. Padilla B.
Substitutes
99. Chaney C. 10. Gray N. 80. Jaime C. 21. Moshobane T. 3. Ousmanou P. 77. Pedro Fonseca 48. Renteria A. 12. Romig A. (G) 13. Sorenson A.	6. Gray L. 30. Jawneh L. 24. Jordan J. 1. McCready M. (G) 7. McManus B. 15. Mfanafikile D. 36. Padilla A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Marou S. ⚽, Bakero J. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Moreno J. ⚽, Bakero J. (A),
32', Perkins W. 🟨,
40', 2 - 1, Baker T. ⚽,
45+1', Chavez J. 🟨,
45+5', Marou S. 🟥,
45+7', Jauregui R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Valentine R. 🟨,
60', 3 - 1, Ngah F. ⚽, Bakero J. (A),
69', Bakero J. ↓, Moshobane T. ↑,
69', Moreno J. ↓, Jaime C. ↑,
72', 3 - 2, McCormick L. ⚽, Jordan J. (A),
78', Padilla B. ↓, Jawneh L. ↑,
83', 3 - 3, McManus B. ⚽,
88', Ciss O. 🟨,
89', Ciss O. ↓, Ousmanou P. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Charlotte Ind have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Texoma is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Charlotte Ind may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Charlotte Ind is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte Independence
USL League One
30.07.25	One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence	2:2 ✺
USL Cup
26.07.25	Charlotte Independence - Richmond Kickers	3:0 ✺
USL League One
19.07.25	Charlotte Independence - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:1 ✺
16.07.25	Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Charlotte Independence - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWTTL
- Texoma FC
USL Cup
26.07.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Texoma	3:0 ✺
23.07.25	Union Omaha - Texoma	3:1 ✺
USL League One
16.07.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Texoma	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Texoma - Portland Hearts of Pine	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	Texoma - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
21.06.25	Texoma - Charlotte Independence	3:2
03.05.25	Texoma - Charlotte Independence	3:4

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