Match Info

USL League One

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Sherman Bearcat Stadium (Sherman, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Texoma		Forward Madison

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.4	1.95
	3.25	3.65	1.98
				Watch
	3.38	3.35	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.72)	3.47 (3.47)	1.97 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Texoma
27.6%

Draw
26.2%

Forward Madison
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

26.5%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

22.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Texoma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texoma than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Texoma - Forward Madison Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Texoma (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia J. (G) 22. Perkins W. 12. Chavez J. (C) 5. Calfo A. 2. Valentine R. 8. McCormick L. 23. Baker T. 3. Ramos O. 17. Bortniczuk M. 10. Spengler P. 7. McManus B.	1. Schipmann B. (G) 4. Osmond M. 5. Mehl T. 16. Crull J. 25. Sousa F. (C) 6. Murphy J. 10. Mesias A. 17. Gebhard D. 11. Garcia C. 9. McLaughlin G. 24. Bartman N.
Substitutes
11. Domic D. 6. Gray L. 30. Jawneh L. 1. McCready M. (G) 15. Mfanafikile D. 9. Pepi D. 27. Staszewski P.	77. Brown N. 2. Chilaka M. 19. Galindrez J. 18. Graffin A. 36. Lapsley W. (G) 70. Lucca Dourado 3. Viader D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, McManus B. ⚽,
28', Bortniczuk M. ↓, Jawneh L. ↑,
45+2', Mehl T. 🟨,
45+4', Sousa F. 🟥,
45+6', Gebhard D. ↓, Brown N. ↑,
45+9', McLaughlin G. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Bartman N. ↓, Galindrez J. ↑,
64', McLaughlin G. ↓, Lucca Dourado ↑,
69', Jawneh L. 🟨,
77', 2 - 0, Chavez J. ⚽, Calfo A. (A),
78', McManus B. ↓, Pepi D. ↑,
78', McCormick L. ↓, Domic D. ↑,
78', Spengler P. ↓, Mfanafikile D. ↑,
79', Garcia C. ↓, Viader D. ↑,
80', Osmond M. ↓, Chilaka M. ↑,
83', Domic D. ↓, Gray L. ↑,
87', Ramos O. 🟨,
90+6', Mfanafikile D. 🟨,
90+7', Pepi D. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 14).

In recent matches, Texoma has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Forward Madison has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Texoma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Forward Madison is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Texoma won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Texoma FC
USL League One
02.07.25	Spokane Velocity - Texoma	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
28.06.25	Texoma - Phoenix Rising	4:5 ✺
USL League One
21.06.25	Texoma - Charlotte Independence	3:2 ✺
14.06.25	Texoma - South Georgia Tormenta	2:2 ✺
07.06.25	Richmond Kickers - Texoma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 TLWTW
- Forward Madison
USL Cup
28.06.25	Forward Madison - One Knoxville	1:0 ✺
USL League One
18.06.25	Forward Madison - Westchester SC	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	Spokane Velocity - Forward Madison	2:1 ✺
07.06.25	Forward Madison - Union Omaha	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
19.04.25	Forward Madison - Texoma	1:1

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