Match Info

USL League One

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Werner Park (Papillion, NE)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Union Omaha		Texoma

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.36	4.55	6.5
	1.38	4.66	7.62
	1.02	13.97	25.00	Watch
	1.42	4.64	6.71	Watch
	1.48	3.95	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.5)	6.35 ↑ (4.05)	10.22 ↑ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Omaha
74.6%

Draw
15.6%

Texoma
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

22.4%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

21.6%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Union Omaha's performance.

Texoma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Texoma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Union Omaha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texoma than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Texoma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Union Omaha - Texoma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Nuhu R. (C) 33. Botello Faz P. 18. Bronnik M. 27. Jiba R. 14. Kallman B. 15. Knapp B. 30. Martinez I. 20. Ostrem C. 4. Owusu S. 23. Schneider M. 16. Wootton L.	13. Garcia J. (G) 5. Calfo A. 12. Chavez J. (C) 30. Jawneh L. 24. Jordan J. 16. Mason D. 35. Padilla B. 9. Pepi D. 22. Perkins W. 3. Ramos O. 10. Spengler P.
Substitutes
26. Acoff D. 17. Barjolo B. 7. Gallardo J. 13. Holt A. 36. Jensen C. (G) 5. Milanese M. 8. Ors S. 29. Stefano Pinho	23. Baker T. 15. Dlamini P. 6. Gray L. 25. Iamarino D. 1. McCready M. 27. Staszewski P. 2. Valentine R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Schneider M. ⚽, Martinez I. (A),
14', 2 - 0, Bronnik M. ⚽, Schneider M. (A),
16', Chavez J. 🟨,
32', Jordan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', Schneider M. 🟨,
49', 3 - 0, Botello Faz P. ⚽, Schneider M. (A),
51', Jordan J. ↓, Baker T. ↑,
55', Kallman B. ↓, Milanese M. ↑,
55', Jiba R. ↓, Gallardo J. ↑,
64', Botello Faz P. ↓, Stefano Pinho ↑,
65', Bronnik M. ↓, Barjolo B. ↑,
66', Pepi D. ↓, Iamarino D. ↑,
74', Chavez J. ↓, Valentine R. ↑,
75', Mason D. ↓, Staszewski P. ↑,
82', Milanese M. 🟨,
84', 4 - 0, Barjolo B. ⚽, Martinez I. (A),
87', Schneider M. ↓, Ors S. ↑,
87', 5 - 0, Stefano Pinho ⚽, Ors S. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).

Union Omaha is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Texoma's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Union Omaha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Union Omaha has had a series of home games.

In this match, Union Omaha is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Union Omaha won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Omaha
USL League One
23.08.25	Union Omaha - AV Alta	2:0 ✺
20.08.25	Union Omaha - Charlotte Independence	4:1 ✺
16.08.25	One Knoxville - Union Omaha	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Union Omaha - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:2 ✺
06.08.25	Union Omaha - Westchester SC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLTW
- Texoma FC
USL League One
27.08.25	Forward Madison - Texoma	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Greenville Triumph - Texoma	0:1 ✺
20.08.25	Texoma - AV Alta	3:3 ✺
16.08.25	Texoma - Chattanooga Red Wolves	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Naples - Texoma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Cup
23.07.25	Union Omaha - Texoma	3:1
USL League One
17.05.25	Texoma - Union Omaha	2:1

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