Match Info

USL League One

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Sherman Bearcat Stadium (Sherman, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Texoma		Portland Hearts of Pine

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.3	2
	3.25	3.42	2.06
				Watch
	3.24	3.34	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.26)	3.35 ↑ (3.34)	2.03 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Texoma
28.2%

Draw
27.1%

Portland Hearts of Pine
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

27.2%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

26.7%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Texoma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texoma than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Texoma - Portland Hearts of Pine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia J. (G) 2. Valentine R. 12. Chavez J. (C) 4. Kilwien P. 22. Perkins W. 3. Ramos O. 5. Calfo A. 23. Baker T. 10. Spengler P. 8. McCormick L. 7. McManus B.	1. Morse H. (G) 21. Quinones C. 7. Vinberg S. 66. Green K. 3. Messer N. 5. Lopez M. (C) 77. Wada M. 80. Kamara J. 8. Poon-Angeron M. 10. Wright O. 14. Washington T.
Substitutes
30. Jawneh L. 24. Jordan J. 1. McCready M. (G) 15. Mfanafikile D. 35. Padilla B. 9. Pepi D. 27. Staszewski P.	47. James N. 12. Keegan J. 6. Langlois P. 50. Mohamed M. 23. Oladapo K. (G) 22. Varela W. 19. Wright S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', McManus B. 🟨,
5', 0 - 1, Perkins W. (Own goal),
21', Green K. 🟨,
25', Washington T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', McCormick L. 🟨,
54', Quinones C. 🟨,
58', Quinones C. ↓, Langlois P. ↑,
67', McManus B. ↓, Pepi D. ↑,
67', Jawneh L. ↓, Padilla B. ↑,
70', Perkins W. 🟨,
70', Washington T. ↓, James N. ↑,
71', Kamara J. ↓, Varela W. ↑,
87', Poon-Angeron M. ↓, Keegan J. ↑,
88', Baker T. ↓, Mfanafikile D. ↑,
90+1', McCormick L. 🟥,
90+3', Messer N. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Texoma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Texoma has had a series of home games.

Hearts of Pine will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Texoma FC
USL League One
05.07.25	Texoma - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Spokane Velocity - Texoma	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
28.06.25	Texoma - Phoenix Rising	4:5 ✺
USL League One
21.06.25	Texoma - Charlotte Independence	3:2 ✺
14.06.25	Texoma - South Georgia Tormenta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WTLWT
- Portland Hearts of Pine
USL League One
06.07.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - South Georgia Tormenta	1:1 ✺
02.07.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - AV Alta	0:2 ✺
USL Cup
27.06.25	Rhode Island - Portland Hearts of Pine	4:1 ✺
USL League One
21.06.25	AV Alta - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Union Omaha	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLTW

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