Match Info

League One - Play Offs - Final

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Wembley Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Charlton Athletic		Leyton Orient

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.4
	2.2	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3.18	3.57
	2.3	2.93	3.45	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.4
	2.1	3.11	3.66	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.12)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	3.47 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
42.8%

Draw
30.1%

Leyton Orient
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

29.1%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29.3%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The chances for Leyton Orient have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	40%	13.3%

Charlton Athletic - Leyton Orient Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charlton: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Charlton (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Leyton Orient (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Charlton (votes: 2 - 25%). Leyton Orient (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mannion W. (G) 2. Ramsay K. 5. Jones L. 3. Gillesphey M. 16. Edwards J. 6. Coventry C. 10. Docherty G. (C) 26. Small T. 17. Gilbert A. 7. Campbell T. 24. Godden M.	24. Keeley J. (G) 22. Galbraith E. 19. Beckles O. (C) 45. Edmonds-Green R. 12. Currie J. 8. Brown J. 28. Clare S. 7. Agyei D. 17. Donley J. 21. O'Neill O. 23. Kelman C.
Substitutes
22. Aneke Ch. 8. Berry L. 21. Maynard-Brewer A. (G) 33. Mbick M. 4. Mitchell A. 27. Watson T.	47. Abdulai A. 15. Ball D. 5. Happe D. 2. James T. 44. Markanday D. 26. Phillips N. (G) 9. Williams R.
Coaches
Jones N.	Wellens R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Gillesphey M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Small T. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
68', Gilbert A. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
74', Clare S. ↓, James T. ↑,
74', Brown J. ↓, Ball D. ↑,
81', Godden M. ↓, Aneke Ch. ↑,
81', Campbell T. ↓, Mbick M. ↑,
82', Beckles O. ↓, Happe D. ↑,
82', Agyei D. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
82', O'Neill O. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
90+2', Jones L. 🟨,

Preview

Playing at Wembley Stadium.

Charlton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 3.

Charlton is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leyton Orient is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Leyton Orient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Charlton could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Charlton: Leaburn M. (Injury)

There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T. (Knee Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury) Happe D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Charlton: Ahadme G. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Currie J. (Injury) Pratley D. (Inactive) Sweeney J. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlton won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 0.9:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Charlton Athletic - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.92%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Leyton Orient - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26.99%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League One
15.05.25	Charlton Athletic - Wycombe Wanderers	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Charlton Athletic	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Charlton Athletic - Burton Albion	3:1 ✺
26.04.25	Wrexham - Charlton Athletic	3:0 ✺
21.04.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Charlton Athletic	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTWLW
- Leyton Orient
English League One
14.05.25	Stockport County - Leyton Orient	1:2 penalties ✺
10.05.25	Leyton Orient - Stockport County	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	Huddersfield Town - Leyton Orient	1:4 ✺
26.04.25	Leyton Orient - Wycombe Wanderers	1:0 ✺
21.04.25	Cambridge United - Leyton Orient	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
01.03.25	Leyton Orient - Charlton Athletic	1:2
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Charlton Athletic - Leyton Orient	0:2
English League One
17.08.24	Charlton Athletic - Leyton Orient	1:0
26.12.23	Leyton Orient - Charlton Athletic	1:0
05.08.23	Charlton Athletic - Leyton Orient	1:0
Club Friendly
14.07.23	Charlton Athletic - Leyton Orient	1:1
English EFL Trophy
09.11.21	Leyton Orient - Charlton Athletic	1:0

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