Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Chatham Town		Billericay Town

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.95	4.35
	1.83	3.6	3.8
	1.75	4.06	3.72	Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.6
	1.55	4.1	4.72
	1.78	3.75	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.63)	3.81 ↓ (3.98)	4 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chatham Town
53.2%

Draw
24%

Billericay Town
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

23.1%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

22%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chatham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Billericay Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chatham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Chatham Town - Billericay Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 0 - 1, Cerulli A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 8).

Chatham is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Billericay has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chatham could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Chatham will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chatham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chatham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Chatham: 6.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Chatham	8	4	0	4	16:13	3	12

Last Results with these Odds

Chatham Town - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.44%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chatham Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
17.01.26	Carshalton Athletic - Chatham Town	0:4 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.01.26	Chatham Town - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
03.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Chatham Town	1:2 ✺
27.12.25	Chatham Town - Dartford	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Cheshunt - Chatham Town	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWLW
- Billericay Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
17.01.26	Billericay Town - Brentwood Town	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Burgess Hill Town - Billericay Town	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Billericay Town - Hashtag United	1:2 ✺
27.12.25	Canvey Island - Billericay Town	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Billericay Town - Carshalton Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.11.25	Billericay Town - Chatham Town	2:1
05.11.24	Billericay Town - Chatham Town	1:1
13.08.24	Chatham Town - Billericay Town	1:1
24.02.24	Chatham Town - Billericay Town	6:3
07.11.23	Billericay Town - Chatham Town	2:0

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