Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Chatham Town		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.55	2.05
	4.02	4.15	1.72
	3.2	3.3	2
	3.54	3.58	1.86
	2.9	3.4	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (3.76)	3.6 ↓ (3.86)	1.95 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chatham Town
27.4%

Draw
25.5%

Carlisle United
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

23.5%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

22.8%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chatham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlisle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chatham Town - Carlisle United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Macarthur M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Carlisle is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chatham Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
03.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Chatham Town	1:2 ✺
27.12.25	Chatham Town - Dartford	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Cheshunt - Chatham Town	0:4 ✺
16.12.25	Chatham Town - Potters Bar Town	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Chatham Town - Plymouth Parkway	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWWW
- Carlisle United
English National League
03.01.26	Carlisle United - Wealdstone	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	Carlisle United - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Gateshead - Carlisle United	0:3 ✺
21.12.25	Boreham Wood - Carlisle United	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Harborough Town - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLW

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