Match Info

Date: 28 August 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Santos		Alfonso Ugarte de Puno

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.4	3.6
	1.75	3.3	3.85
	1.84	3.4	3.65
	1.88	3.41	4.06
	1.8	3.3	4
	1.8	3.62	3.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.3)	3.41 ↑ (3.14)	3.83 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
49.8%

Draw
26.6%

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
23.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

28.6%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

30%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alfonso Ugarte de Puno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfonso Ugarte de Puno than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alfonso Ugarte de Puno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Santos - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Alfonso Ugarte will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 5 and 6).

Recent matches Santos is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alfonso Ugarte is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Santos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos de Nasca
Peruvian Liga 2
21.08.22	Cusco - Santos	4:1 ✺
14.08.22	Santos - Unión Comercio	1:0 ✺
07.08.22	Comerciantes Unidos - Santos	1:1 ✺
31.07.22	Santos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:2 ✺
23.07.22	Juan Aurich - Santos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LWTTW
- Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
Peruvian Liga 2
21.08.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Los Chankas	2:1 ✺
14.08.22	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	2:3 ✺
07.08.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Pirata	2:1 ✺
31.07.22	Chavelines Juniors - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	1:1 ✺
17.07.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Cusco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
29.05.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Santos	1:1

Santos - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno