Match Info

Date: 21 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)


	Cusco		Santos

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6.25
	1.29	4.5	7
	1.35	4.7	6.4
	1.28	5.23	9.62
	1.34	4.85	7.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.68)	4.7 ↑ (3.58)	7.27 ↑ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cusco
68.2%

Draw
19.3%

Santos
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

25.6%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

25.7%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cusco's performance.

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cusco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cusco - Santos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs) and 2).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Santos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cusco is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cusco to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cusco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 2
14.08.22	Los Chankas - Cusco	1:1 ✺
06.08.22	Cusco - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:0 ✺
31.07.22	Pirata - Cusco	2:2 ✺
23.07.22	Cusco - Chavelines Juniors	Cusco awarded ✺
17.07.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Cusco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWT?W
- Santos de Nasca
Peruvian Liga 2
14.08.22	Santos - Unión Comercio	1:0 ✺
07.08.22	Comerciantes Unidos - Santos	1:1 ✺
31.07.22	Santos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:2 ✺
23.07.22	Juan Aurich - Santos	0:1 ✺
17.07.22	Santos - Unión Huaral	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
22.05.22	Santos - Cusco	1:2

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