Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 33

Date: 10 May 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Chaves (Chaves)

Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Chaves		Famalicão

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.3	2.63	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.6
	2.7	3.3	2.6	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.7
	2.8	3.28	2.7
	2.62	3.25	2.6	Watch
	2.72	3.28	2.62	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.96)	3.28 ↑ (3.28)	2.63 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaves
35.1%

Draw
28.9%

Famalicão
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

28.8%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

28.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	90%	10%

Chaves - Famalicão Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Famalicão will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Moura R. (G) 77. Correia J. (C) 3. Ygor Nogueira 13. Fernandes V. 33. Cruz S. 14. Essugo D. 80. Raphael Guzzo 28. Nwakali K. 20. Ribeiro R. 23. Hernandez H. 10. Sanca L.	31. Junior Reis (G) 32. Aguirregabiria M. 4. Mihaj E. 15. Riccieli (C) 74. Moura F. 28. Youssouf Z. 8. Topic M. 7. Puma 20. Sa G. 10. Chiquinho 9. Araujo H.
Substitutes
7. Benny 4. Bruno Rodrigues 21. Guima 1. Hugo Souza (G) 99. Jo 70. Morim H. 9. Paulo Victor 2. Sylla H. 19. Vitoria S.	11. Aranda O. 12. Assuncao G. A. 21. Danho F. 6. Lacoux T. 18. Liimatta O. 22. Nathan 19. Soares F. 77. Sorriso 1. Zlobin I. (G)
Coaches
Moreno T.	Evangelista A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Sa G. ⚽, Puma (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hernandez H. ↓, Jo ↑,
46', Ribeiro R. ↓, Benny ↑,
46', Nwakali K. ↓, Guima ↑,
51', Ygor Nogueira 🟨,
66', Essugo D. ↓, Morim H. ↑,
67', Correia J. 🟨,
76', Cruz S. ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
77', Puma ↓, Sorriso ↑,
79', Jo 🟨,
81', Chiquinho 🟨,
82', Sa G. ↓, Assuncao G. A. ↑,
82', Araujo H. ↓, Danho F. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chaves won 1.

Chaves is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Famalicão is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Chaves: Pius J. (Red Card)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Chaves won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Chaves won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Chaves
Liga Portugal
04.05.24	Chaves - Porto	0:3 ✺
27.04.24	Casa Pia - Chaves	3:1 ✺
21.04.24	Chaves - Estoril Praia	2:2 ✺
15.04.24	Vizela - Chaves	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Chaves - Portimonense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLTWL
- FC Famalicão
Liga Portugal
05.05.24	Famalicão - Benfica	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Estoril Praia - Famalicão	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Famalicão - Portimonense	2:2 ✺
16.04.24	Famalicão - Sporting Lisbon	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Porto - Famalicão	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.6 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
07.01.24	Famalicão - Chaves	2:2
Club Friendly
04.08.23	Chaves - Famalicão	0:1
Liga Portugal
08.05.23	Famalicão - Chaves	1:2
30.12.22	Chaves - Famalicão	0:2
Portuguese Liga 2
23.01.16	Famalicão - Chaves	4:3
22.08.15	Chaves - Famalicão	0:0

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