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Current Win Probability
Chaves 54.5%
Draw 26%
Mafra 19.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.7%
28.2%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
28.1%
26%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chaves's performance.
Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mafra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chaves that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mafra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
0%
14.3%
Chaves - Mafra Predictions
Users Predictions:
Chaves will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vozinha (G) 15. Carraca 4. Bruno Rodrigues 13. Fernandes V. (C) 55. Kiko 14. Wilson R. 25. Pedro Tiba 10. Sanca L. 12. Ktatau 21. Carvalho W. 7. Paulo Victor
1. Fraisl M. (G) 2. Texel P. 4. Passi B. 32. Rodrigo Freitas 5. Beni D. 20. Maiga Y. 3. Chriso (C) 19. Iheanacho S. 9. Nibe A. 10. Fale M. 90. Etim F.
Substitutes
17. Kusso D. 70. Morim H. 31. Moura R. (G) 11. Pelagio P. 88. Pina R. 8. Pinho P. 5. Romero A. 19. Tiago Almeida 83. Tounkara M.
60. Barros G. 24. Camara M. 80. Goncalves V. 17. Kolawole J. 22. Lemos F. (G) 7. Matos R. 6. Pereira P. 21. Precatado J. 39. Souza A.
Coaches
Alves M.
Vaz Pinto C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Fale M. ⚽, Texel P. (A),
40', Carvalho W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Pedro Tiba ↓, Pelagio P. ↑,
46', Carvalho W. ↓, Pina R. ↑,
47', Fale M. 🟨,
60', Fale M. ↓, Matos R. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Etim F. ⚽, Matos R. (A),
69', Sanca L. 🟨,
70', Ktatau ↓, Pinho P. ↑,
70', Wilson R. ↓, Kusso D. ↑,
73', Nibe A. ↓, Goncalves V. ↑,
73', Iheanacho S. ↓, Precatado J. ↑,
74', 0 - 3, Passi B. ⚽,
81', Chriso ↓, Pereira P. ↑,
81', Beni D. ↓, Souza A. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Chaves won 2.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Mafra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Chaves is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Chaves won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Chaves won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
Portugal
Watch
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Vozinha (G) 
Carraca 
Wilson R. 
Ktatau 
Fraisl M. (G) 
Texel P. 
Passi B. 
Beni D. 
Maiga Y. 
Iheanacho S. 
Kusso D. 
Romero A. 
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