Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 3

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Mafra (Mafra)

Referee: Vieira B. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Mafra		Portimonense

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.55
	2.5	3.1	2.45
	2.6	3.25	2.65
	2.65	3.35	2.79
	2.63	3.21	2.68	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.45
	2.57	3.32	2.64	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.51)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	2.61 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra
36%

Draw
28.6%

Portimonense
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

27.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

26.9%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+2%)

Mafra - Portimonense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fraisl M. (G) 2. Texel P. 4. Passi B. 32. Rodrigo Freitas 15. Guilherme (C) 20. Maiga Y. 3. Chriso 19. Iheanacho S. 9. Nibe A. 10. Fale M. 90. Etim F.	1. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 3. Mendes F. 19. John K. 4. Relvas F. (C) 27. Guga 50. Varela F. 17. Silva do Nascimento D. 25. Lucas Ventura 24. Jose A. 99. Benedict E. 29. Ruan
Substitutes
60. Barros G. 5. Beni D. 17. Kolawole J. 22. Lemos F. (G) 70. Lind J. 7. Matos R. 6. Pereira P. 21. Precatado J. 39. Souza A.	8. Geovane 23. Gomes R. 5. Mendes C. 32. Nakamura K. (G) 22. Omrani S. 11. Paulo V. 21. Williams R.
Coaches
Vaz Pinto C.	Vieira S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Jose A. 🟨,
31', Etim F. 🟨,
41', Varela F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Lucas Ventura ⚽, Benedict E. (A),
50', 1 - 1, Maiga Y. ⚽,
58', Benedict E. ↓, Paulo V. ↑,
58', Varela F. ↓, Mendes C. ↑,
58', Silva do Nascimento D. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Chriso ⚽, Nibe A. (A),
67', Nibe A. 🟨,
68', Ruan ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
68', Lucas Ventura ↓, Geovane ↑,
71', Chriso ↓, Souza A. ↑,
80', Iheanacho S. ↓, Matos R. ↑,
83', Souza A. 🟨,
89', Nibe A. ↓, Precatado J. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Paulo V. (Pen),
90+8', Relvas F. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Mafra is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Portimonense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Portimonense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Mafra have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mafra won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Mafra won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
17.08.24	Oliveirense - Mafra	0:0 ✺
10.08.24	Mafra - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Caldas - Mafra	0:2 ✺
11.07.24	Kolding IF - Mafra	1:1 ✺
09.07.24	Fredericia - Mafra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWTL
- Portimonense SC
Portuguese Liga 2
17.08.24	Portimonense - Leiria	0:3 ✺
12.08.24	Felgueiras - Portimonense	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.24	Portimonense - Farense	0:0 ✺
27.07.24	Portimonense - Benfica B	0:1 ✺
27.07.24	Bristol Rovers - Portimonense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
13.01.22	Portimonense - Mafra	2:4
Portuguese Liga 2
31.01.16	Mafra - Portimonense	0:0
06.09.15	Portimonense - Mafra	2:0

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