Match Info

Date: 29 October 2021, Friday


	Chaves		Trofense

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4.33
	1.73	3.5	4.4
	1.75	3.5	4.1
	1.71	3.55	4.5
	1.83	3.56	4.8
	1.78	3.4	4.5
	1.76	3.58	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.98)	3.5 ↑ (3.29)	4.43 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaves
52.5%

Draw
26.5%

Trofense
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

27.9%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

21.5%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chaves's performance.

Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chaves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-1%)

Chaves - Trofense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 12).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Chaves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chaves is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Chaves won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Chaves won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Chaves
Portuguese Liga 2
23.10.21	Casa Pia - Chaves	1:0 ✺
10.10.21	Chaves - Penafiel	3:1 ✺
03.10.21	Benfica B - Chaves	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.09.21	Felgueiras - Chaves	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
19.09.21	Chaves - Porto B	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLW
- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 2
24.10.21	Trofense - Covilhã	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
16.10.21	Trofense - Benfica	1:2 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
04.10.21	Trofense - Nacional	0:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.09.21	Pevidem - Trofense	1:3 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
18.09.21	Mafra - Trofense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
10.05.15	Chaves - Trofense	6:0
04.01.15	Trofense - Chaves	0:1
10.05.14	Trofense - Chaves	0:0
15.12.13	Chaves - Trofense	1:2

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