Match Info

FNL - Round 33

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Chayka Central Stadium (Peschanokopskoye)

Referee: Anopa A. (Rus)


	Chayka Peschanokopskoye		Chernomorets Novorossiysk

	1	X	2
	2.99	3.52	2.32
	3.03	3.45	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.89)	3.49 ↑ (3.36)	2.33 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chayka Peschanokopskoye
31.7%

Draw
27.4%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28.3%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

29.4%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chayka Peschanokopskoye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Peschanokopskoye will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Chernomorets will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
58. Fadeev S. (G) 89. Chervyakov R. 2. Gapechkin A. 7. Gulyaev E. 11. Kriushichev M. 27. Krutovskikh A. 39. Maslov P. 4. Nikitenkov A. 17. Popolitov G. 8. Rosputko O. 18. Sokolov A. (C)	73. Shtepa M. (G) 7. Antonov A. 21. Chistyakov N. 98. Khubulov A. 99. Morozov K. 18. Nikolaev O. 3. Pliev Z. (C) 91. Suslov K. 77. Zarypbekov E. 10. Zhigulev I. 17. Zhilkin G.
Substitutes
20. Biblik S. 22. Chobanov R. 10. Dzhebov A. 9. Gagua D. 55. Gapeev V. 95. Gerdt A. 19. Ivanov I. 14. Kaptilovich D. 35. Pavlov N. (G) 99. Posmashnyi N. 24. Pridava N. 38. Topinka S.	9. Antsiperov D. 33. Khalilov M. 11. Konovalov I. 5. Krachkovskii A. 44. Kukharchuk I. 88. Magomedov Z. 31. Natabashvili G. (G) 90. Sutugin I. 81. Tonevitskiy E.
Coaches
Kombarov D.	Sarkisov E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Antonov A. ↓, Khalilov M. ↑,
17', Nikolaev O. 🟨,
22', Zhigulev I. 🟨,
34', Krutovskikh A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Khalilov M. ↓, Magomedov Z. ↑,
46', Chervyakov R. ↓, Dzhebov A. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Khubulov A. ⚽,
52', Pliev Z. 🟨,
54', Kriushichev M. ↓, Biblik S. ↑,
58', Popolitov G. 🟨,
66', Gulyaev E. ↓, Posmashnyi N. ↑,
67', Zhigulev I. ↓, Sutugin I. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Sutugin I. ⚽,
80', Nikitenkov A. ↓, Pridava N. ↑,
80', Sokolov A. ↓, Gerdt A. ↑,
86', Khubulov A. ↓, Antsiperov D. ↑,
87', Morozov K. ↓, Krachkovskii A. ↑,
90+6', Maslov P. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Peschanokopskoye is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peschanokopskoye won 2.

Recent form of Peschanokopskoye has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chernomorets has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Peschanokopskoye won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Peschanokopskoye won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Russian FNL
03.05.26	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Torpedo Moscow	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	KAMAZ - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Fakel	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LLLWL
- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL
02.05.26	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rodina Moscow	1:3 ✺
26.04.26	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Sokol Saratov	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Ufa - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Spartak Kostroma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
15.09.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	4:1
23.03.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:2
21.07.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:2
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
14.05.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:1
09.11.22	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:2
21.08.22	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:2
Club Friendly
29.06.22	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	3:1

Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Chernomorets Novorossiysk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide