Match Info

FNL - Round 29

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Chayka Central Stadium (Peschanokopskoye)

Referee: Gusakov O. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier


	Chayka Peschanokopskoye		Fakel

	1	X	2
	11.6	5.2	1.31
	11	4.79	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.3 ↑ (7.12)	5 ↑ (3.82)	1.31 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chayka Peschanokopskoye
8.4%

Draw
19%

Fakel
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

25%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

24.2%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chayka Peschanokopskoye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fakel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fakel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Fakel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
58. Fadeev S. (G) 2. Gapechkin A. 24. Pridava N. 74. Guziev E. 27. Krutovskikh A. 89. Chervyakov R. 8. Rosputko O. 18. Sokolov A. (C) 17. Popolitov G. 19. Ivanov I. 10. Dzhebov A.	96. Obukhov I. (G) 44. Zhuravlev Y. 20. Yurganov I. 2. Cherov V. 97. Magomedov B. 10. Alshin I. (C) 23. Yakimov V. 99. Giorgobiani N. 18. Simonov K. 9. Turishchev M. 19. Pusi B.
Substitutes
22. Chobanov R. 87. Filev A. 9. Gagua D. 55. Gapeev V. 95. Gerdt A. 7. Gulyaev E. 69. Gurylev A. 14. Kaptilovich D. 11. Kriushichev M. 35. Pavlov N. (G) 6. Petin Y. 99. Posmashnyi N.	70. Abdokov N. 8. Bagamaev A. 25. Belyaev A. 1. Frolkin D. (G) 95. Gaponov I. 7. Gnapi Dable A. 11. Motpan N. 52. Netfullin R. 55. Todorovic D. 93. Uridia M.
Coaches
Kombarov D.	Vasilenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Rosputko O. 🟨,
32', Simonov K. ↓, Bagamaev A. ↑,
36', 1 - 0, Sokolov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yakimov V. ↓, Abdokov N. ↑,
46', Chervyakov R. ↓, Gagua D. ↑,
61', Alshin I. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
61', Turishchev M. ↓, Uridia M. ↑,
64', Dzhebov A. ↓, Filev A. ↑,
74', Giorgobiani N. ↓, Gnapi Dable A. ↑,
80', Sokolov A. ↓, Kriushichev M. ↑,
80', Rosputko O. ↓, Chobanov R. ↑,
80', Filev A. ↓, Posmashnyi N. ↑,
88', Fadeev S. 🟨,
90', Ivanov I. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 0, Posmashnyi N. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Peschanokopskoye is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fakel's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Fakel is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peschanokopskoye won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Peschanokopskoye won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Russian FNL
11.04.26	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:4 ✺
05.04.26	Ural - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	5:0 ✺
29.03.26	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Chelyabinsk	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Rodina Moscow - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	5:2 ✺
14.03.26	Spartak Kostroma - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLWLT
- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
13.04.26	Fakel - Rodina Moscow	1:3 ✺
05.04.26	Arsenal Tula - Fakel	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Fakel	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Fakel - KAMAZ	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Rotor - Fakel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
28.09.25	Fakel - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0
05.12.20	Fakel - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:1
31.08.20	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Fakel	2:1
27.10.19	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Fakel	0:1
13.07.19	Fakel - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0

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