The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 48.6%
Draw 29.5%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk 21.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.1%
29.4%
24.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.5%
25.8%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chernomorets Novorossiysk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Neftekhimik will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Golubev A. (G) 2. Sitdikov M. (C) 65. Tolstopyatov N. 24. Kakhidze A. 5. Musalov M. 15. Nikitin A. 70. Bober I. 90. Shiltsov K. 8. Kantaria G. 10. Kokoev D. 9. Magomedov R.
23. Matyusha M. (G) 18. Nikolaev O. 59. Syshchenko M. 21. Chistyakov N. 7. Antonov A. 8. Tarba Z. 99. Morozov K. 77. Zarypbekov E. 10. Zhigulev I. (C) 9. Antsiperov D. 98. Khubulov A.
Substitutes
77. Gvenetadze A. 51. Kashintsev T. (G) 14. Mashukov I. 53. Moiseev K. 28. Platonov P. 6. Rodin D. 75. Shadrintsev D. 12. Shiryaev M. 88. Titov D. 17. Valiakhmetov E.
11. Konovalov I. 5. Krachkovskii A. 88. Magomedov Z. 31. Natabashvili G. (G) 91. Suslov K. 90. Sutugin I. 17. Zhilkin G.
Coaches
Novikov K.
Sarkisov E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Tarba Z. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Kokoev D. ⚽,
45', Kakhidze A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Tarba Z. ↓, Magomedov Z. ↑,
47', Nikitin A. 🟨,
64', Antsiperov D. ↓, Konovalov I. ↑,
64', Antonov A. ↓, Sutugin I. ↑,
64', Zhigulev I. 🟨,
67', 2 - 0, Bober I. ⚽,
70', Kokoev D. ↓, Rodin D. ↑,
71', Musalov M. ↓, Valiakhmetov E. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Shiltsov K. ⚽,
77', 4 - 0, Nikitin A. ⚽,
80', Bober I. ↓, Gvenetadze A. ↑,
81', Nikitin A. ↓, Shadrintsev D. ↑,
82', Nikolaev O. ↓, Suslov K. ↑,
82', Chistyakov N. ↓, Zhilkin G. ↑,
83', Magomedov R. ↓, Titov D. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Neftekhimik has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Chernomorets has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Neftekhimik might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Neftekhimik won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Outrights of Russian FNL for now
Neftekhimik: 0.78%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Neftekhimik
12
4
0
8
7:15
-8
12
Last Results with these Odds
Chernomorets Novorossiysk - the odds 3.88 are the expected chance of winning is 24.44%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Russia
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Golubev A. (G) 
Kakhidze A. 
Zarypbekov E. 
Titov D. 
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