Match Info

FNL - Round 8

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Chayka Central Stadium (Peschanokopskoye)

Referee: Khromey Y. (Rus)


	Chayka Peschanokopskoye		Rotor

	1	X	2
	4.77	3.07	1.95
	4.37	3.19	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.57 ↓ (6.46)	3.13 ↓ (3.63)	1.97 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chayka Peschanokopskoye
20.9%

Draw
30.5%

Rotor
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

25.9%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

25.4%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chayka Peschanokopskoye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chayka Peschanokopskoye's performance.

Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rotor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chayka Peschanokopskoye that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rotor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Rotor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rotor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rotor will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
58. Fadeev S. (G) 55. Gapeev V. 15. Rogochiy B. 12. Ivannikov D. 6. Petin Y. 91. Stolyarov D. 14. Kaptilovich D. 88. Markelov I. (C) 17. Popolitov G. 10. Dzhebov A. 20. Biblik S.	13. Chagrov N. (G) 80. Bardybakhin V. 37. Fomin D. 97. Pokidyshev N. 2. Korotkov A. 6. Makarov S. (C) 9. Davidyan D. 18. Kaynov M. 10. Simonyan A. 33. Arbuzov Y. 70. Khokhlachev A.
Substitutes
87. Filev A. 95. Gerdt A. 7. Gulyaev E. 69. Gurylev A. 9. Kozachenko O. 11. Kriushichev M. 2. Pelikh D. 96. Sorochinskiy I. (G) 38. Topinka S. 22. Uzhgin M. 73. Yakuba D.	23. Lavrishchev D. 24. Maltsev M. 88. Nikiforov N. 27. Nikishin K. 7. Safronov I. 77. Sasin D. 28. Semenov A. 17. Shilnikov G. 5. Shumskikh A. 3. Shvetsov M. 50. Sugrobov V. (G)
Coaches
Kombarov D.	Boyarintsev D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Arbuzov Y. ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Makarov S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Dzhebov A. ↓, Gulyaev E. ↑,
46', Markelov I. ↓, Filev A. ↑,
54', 🟨,
59', 0 - 3, Khokhlachev A. ⚽,
61', Simonyan A. ↓, Maltsev M. ↑,
61', Khokhlachev A. ↓, Sasin D. ↑,
66', 0 - 4, Davidyan D. ⚽,
70', Stolyarov D. ↓, Topinka S. ↑,
71', Kaynov M. ↓, Safronov I. ↑,
71', Arbuzov Y. ↓, Nikiforov N. ↑,
74', Biblik S. ↓, Gurylev A. ↑,
76', Makarov S. ↓, Shilnikov G. ↑,
82', 0 - 5, Shilnikov G. (Pen),
89', Bardybakhin V. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 6, Safronov I. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peschanokopskoye won 2.

Recent form of Peschanokopskoye has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Rotor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Rotor has had a series of home games.

In this match, Rotor is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Peschanokopskoye won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 1.2:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Peschanokopskoye won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.7:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Russian FNL
30.08.25	Ufa - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	4:0 ✺
24.08.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Arsenal Tula	0:3 ✺
16.08.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Shinnik	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLTT
- Rotor Volgograd
Russian FNL
30.08.25	Rotor - Spartak Kostroma	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Rotor - Torpedo Moscow	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Sokol Saratov - Rotor	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Rotor - Ufa	1:0 ✺
04.08.25	Rotor - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
17.05.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Rotor	1:0
02.09.24	Rotor - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
26.05.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Rotor	3:1
14.04.24	Rotor - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0
09.09.23	Rotor - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
28.05.23	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Rotor	2:1
15.04.23	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Rotor	0:0

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