Match Info

FNL - Round 7

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Volgograd Arena (Volgograd)

Referee: Safyan R. (Rus)


	Rotor		Spartak Kostroma

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.83	3.64
	2.31	2.8	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.94)	2.82 ↓ (3.17)	3.61 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotor
40.2%

Draw
33.6%

Spartak Kostroma
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

29.7%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

31.6%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rotor's form might have worsened.

Spartak Kostroma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rotor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak Kostroma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rotor - Spartak Kostroma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Chagrov N. (G) 18. Kaynov M. 2. Korotkov A. 6. Makarov S. 27. Nikishin K. 97. Pokidyshev N. 7. Safronov I. 77. Sasin D. 28. Semenov A. 5. Shumskikh A. 10. Simonyan A.	68. Gaydash M. (G) 35. Enin I. 99. Gharibyan A. 18. Ignatiev M. 11. Nazarenko E. 22. Nemchenko A. 8. Sadov D. 4. Supranovich N. 2. Tarasov N. 57. Tlekhugov M. 5. Zhilmostnykh D.
Substitutes
33. Arbuzov Y. 73. Aznaurov I. 80. Bardybakhin V. 9. Davidyan D. 37. Fomin D. 70. Khokhlachev A. 23. Lavrishchev D. 24. Maltsev M. 88. Nikiforov N. 17. Shilnikov G. 3. Shvetsov M. 50. Sugrobov V. (G)	3. Bugriev S. 23. Chikanchi M. 69. Chursin K. 17. Kalachev I. 6. Kaplenko K. 80. Khorin A. A. 86. Korets N. (G) 66. Makarenko Y. 55. Saplinov A. 48. Sutugin I.
Coaches
Boyarintsev D.	Bondar S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Gharibyan A. ↓, Saplinov A. ↑,
53', Nazarenko E. 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Zhilmostnykh D. ⚽,
59', Tlekhugov M. ↓, Chikanchi M. ↑,
60', Nazarenko E. ↓, Chursin K. ↑,
63', Safronov I. ↓, Khokhlachev A. ↑,
63', Sasin D. ↓, Davidyan D. ↑,
63', Nikishin K. ↓, Arbuzov Y. ↑,
64', Simonyan A. ↓, Aznaurov I. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Arbuzov Y. ⚽,
76', Makarov S. ↓, Lavrishchev D. ↑,
79', Nemchenko A. ↓, Khorin A. A. ↑,
79', Enin I. ↓, Kalachev I. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Sadov D. ⚽,
90+3', Arbuzov Y. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

Recent performances by Rotor have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Spartak Kostroma is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Rotor is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rotor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Rotor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotor Volgograd
Russian FNL
25.08.25	Rotor - Torpedo Moscow	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Sokol Saratov - Rotor	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Rotor - Ufa	1:0 ✺
04.08.25	Rotor - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Chelyabinsk - Rotor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWTL
- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL
24.08.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Spartak Kostroma - Chelyabinsk	2:1 ✺
11.08.25	Torpedo Moscow - Spartak Kostroma	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	Spartak Kostroma - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Rodina Moscow - Spartak Kostroma	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
29.10.23	Rotor - Spartak Kostroma	2:0
03.09.23	Spartak Kostroma - Rotor	0:1

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