Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP IV - ROUND 11

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday


	Chełmianka Chełm		Wiślanie Jaśkowice

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.2
	1.94	3.58	3.25	Watch
	1.87	3.8	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.85)	3.63 ↓ (4)	3.22 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chełmianka Chełm
47.2%

Draw
24.8%

Wiślanie Jaśkowice
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

22.8%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

21.7%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chełmianka Chełm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

The chances for Wiślanie Jaśkowice have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wiślanie Jaśkowice than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 and 12).

Chełmianka in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Wiślanie Jaśkowice is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chełmianka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chełmianka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Chełmianka won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Chełmianka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
30.09.23	Karpaty Krosno - Chełmianka Chełm	3:4 ✺
23.09.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Star Starachowice	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Czarni Połaniec - Chełmianka Chełm	3:3 ✺
09.09.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WWTWW
- Wiślanie Jaśkowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
23.09.23	Wiślanie Jaśkowice - Sokół Sieniawa	3:1 ✺
16.09.23	Karpaty Krosno - Wiślanie Jaśkowice	0:2 ✺
09.09.23	Wiślanie Jaśkowice - Star Starachowice	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Czarni Połaniec - Wiślanie Jaśkowice	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Wiślanie Jaśkowice - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
23.03.19	Wiślanie Jaśkowice - Chełmianka Chełm	0:0
19.08.18	Chełmianka Chełm - Wiślanie Jaśkowice	2:0
24.03.18	Wiślanie Jaśkowice - Chełmianka Chełm	1:5
20.08.17	Chełmianka Chełm - Wiślanie Jaśkowice	1:2

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