Match Info

EUROPE: PREMIER LEAGUE INTERNATIONAL CUP - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 15 February 2024, Thursday


	Chelsea U21		Jong PSV

	1	X	2
	4.37	4.09	1.59
	4.47	4.1	1.62
	4.4	3.98	1.69
	4.2	3.85	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (2.4)	4.01 ↑ (3.6)	1.63 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea U21
21%

Draw
22.9%

Jong PSV
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

24.9%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

24.2%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chelsea U21's form might have worsened.

Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jong PSV's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea U21 than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chelsea U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-19.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jong PSV, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Chelsea U21 - Jong PSV Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong PSV: 64.6% – 100%.

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Preview

Chelsea U21 in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Jong PSV is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Chelsea U21 have a series of home games.

Jong PSV will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea U21
English Premier League 2
09.02.24	West Ham United U21 - Chelsea U21	0:2 ✺
English Premier League Cup
02.02.24	Chelsea U21 - Leeds United U21	3:3 ✺
English Premier League 2
27.01.24	Chelsea U21 - Reading U21	3:2 ✺
English Premier League Cup
22.01.24	Chelsea U21 - Colchester United U21	4:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
12.01.24	Chelsea U21 - Manchester United U21	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWWW
- Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.02.24	Jong PSV - Emmen	3:0 ✺
02.02.24	VVV-Venlo - Jong PSV	3:2 ✺
29.01.24	Jong PSV - Willem II	1:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
25.01.24	Leeds United U21 - Jong PSV	0:7 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.01.24	De Graafschap - Jong PSV	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLTWL

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