The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
De Graafschap 60.7%
Draw 19.3%
Jong PSV 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.4%
18.1%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.1%
17.4%
17.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for De Graafschap, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
0%
14.3%
De Graafschap - Jong PSV Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Jong PSV (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
De Graafschap will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Jong PSV (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wieggers T. (G) 4. Raterink O. 3. Besselink R. 18. Bultman S. 21. Symons K. 8. Gijselhart T. 10. Niemeijer R. (C) 24. Meerstadt J. 7. Simons J. 28. Boersma B. 22. de Jong F.
1. Schiks N. (G) 2. Bresser M. 3. van der Plas S. 4. Merien F. 5. van de Riet R. 6. Bawuah J. 10. van den Berg J. 8. Fernandez N. 7. Abed T. 9. van Duiven R. (C) 11. Thomas A.
Substitutes
20. Braem T. 32. Broker S. 38. Eijken D. 25. Jonkers R. (G) 17. Kaninda N. 12. Kremers S. (G) 5. Schoppema L. 9. Theodoridis D. 26. van der Heide A.
17. Bahaty M. 19. Bouhoudane S. 21. Kluit F. 14. Monamay M. 23. Ngom K. (G) 15. Raap Y. 18. Sidibe S. 16. Smolenaars T. (G) 20. Verhulst G.
Coaches
Dijkhuizen M.
Schaars S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 2)
53', 0 - 1, van den Berg J. ⚽, Abed T. (A),
57', 0 - 2, van Duiven R. ⚽, Bresser M. (A),
59', 1 - 2, de Jong F. ⚽, Boersma B. (A),
62', van den Berg J. ↓, Sidibe S. ↑,
62', Gijselhart T. ↓, van der Heide A. ↑,
62', Thomas A. ↓, Bahaty M. ↑,
72', van der Plas S. ↓, Bouhoudane S. ↑,
72', Bresser M. ↓, Monamay M. ↑,
72', van Duiven R. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
73', de Jong F. ↓, Theodoridis D. ↑,
73', Symons K. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Boersma B. ⚽, Besselink R. (A),
85', Meerstadt J. 🟨,
87', 3 - 2, Theodoridis D. ⚽, Meerstadt J. (A),
90', Simons J. ↓, Broker S. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 4.
De Graafschap has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Jong PSV's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Jong PSV may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, De Graafschap is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Jong PSV: Kuhn W.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Jong PSV: Bassey E.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 48:26. (average 2.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 29:12. (average 2.9:1.2).