Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 14

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: De Herdgang (Eindhoven)

Referee: Puts K. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2


	Jong PSV		Willem II

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.9	2.15	Watch
	2.72	3.95	2.22
	2.43	3.81	2.43	Watch
	2.72	3.94	2.21	Watch
	2.65	3.9	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.43)	3.9 ↑ (3.81)	2.23 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong PSV
34.8%

Draw
23.7%

Willem II
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

24.2%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

23.8%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	33.3%	53.3%

Jong PSV - Willem II Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Willem II will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 1 - 25%). Willem II (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Jong PSV (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 2 - 40%). Willem II (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schiks N. (G) 2. Bresser M. 3. van der Plas S. 4. Merien F. 5. van de Riet R. 6. Bawuah J. 10. Verkooijen N. 8. van den Berg J. 7. Abed T. 9. van Duiven R. (C) 11. Thomas A.	1. Didillon T. (G) 2. Ciranni A. 3. Stam F. 4. Hoogma J. (C) 24. Tjoe a On N. 6. Besselink G. 7. Doodeman N. 19. van Aalst U. 20. El Allouchi M. 17. Bamba S. 9. Haen D.
Substitutes
19. Bouhoudane S. 17. Kluit F. 18. Koller J. 14. Monamay M. 16. Ngom K. (G) 15. Sidibe S.	47. Baartmans S. 30. Behounek R. 8. Culum A. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 11. Kehrer E. 14. Mathijsen J. 22. van Loon P. 45. van Maarschalkerwaard P. 18. Zarrouk A.
Coaches
Schaars S.	Stegeman J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Verkooijen N. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, El Allouchi M. ⚽, Hoogma J. (A),
42', 2 - 1, Thomas A. ⚽, Bresser M. (A),
45', Hoogma J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Bamba S. ↓, Kehrer E. ↑,
57', van Aalst U. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
70', El Allouchi M. ↓, Zarrouk A. ↑,
70', Doodeman N. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
71', Verkooijen N. ↓, Koller J. ↑,
79', Abed T. ↓, Kluit F. ↑,
79', van der Plas S. ↓, Monamay M. ↑,
83', Thomas A. 🟨,
85', Besselink G. ↓, van Loon P. ↑,
88', Thomas A. ↓, Bouhamdi A. ↑,
88', van den Berg J. ↓, Sidibe S. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 1.

Jong PSV is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Willem II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Jong PSV has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Jong PSV: Kuhn W. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J. (Knock)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Jong PSV won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong PSV
English Premier League International Cup
28.10.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 - Jong PSV	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	De Graafschap - Jong PSV	3:2 ✺
20.10.25	Jong PSV - ADO Den Haag	0:3 ✺
17.10.25	Jong Ajax - Jong PSV	2:2 ✺
03.10.25	FC Oss - Jong PSV	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLTT
- Willem II
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.25	Willem II - Dordrecht	7:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.10.25	Willem II - MVV Maastricht	2:2 ✺
20.10.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Willem II	4:0 ✺
17.10.25	Waalwijk - Willem II	2:3 ✺
03.10.25	Willem II - Roda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.01.24	Jong PSV - Willem II	1:1
27.10.23	Willem II - Jong PSV	3:0
30.01.23	Jong PSV - Willem II	3:2
05.08.22	Willem II - Jong PSV	1:1
17.03.14	Jong PSV - Willem II	2:2
08.09.13	Willem II - Jong PSV	2:0

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