Match Info

EFL Trophy - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Memorial Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Bristol Rovers		Plymouth Argyle

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.15	Watch
	2.92	3.45	2.22	Watch
	3.12	3.59	2.15	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.1
	2.93	3.36	2.17	Watch
	2.85	3.5	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.19)	3.45 ↓ (3.47)	2.18 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
31.5%

Draw
26.6%

Plymouth Argyle
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

26.2%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

25.9%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Users Predictions: Plymouth Argyle will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Southwood L. (G) 2. Senior J. 4. Moore T. 5. Kilgour A. (C) 3. Sparkes J. 8. Hutchinson I. 12. Lockyer T. 22. Conteh K. 7. Forde S. 29. Cavegn F. 11. Thomas L.	21. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 8. Edwards J. (C) 2. Ross M. 15. Mitchell A. 29. Sorinola M. 10. Amaechi X. 4. Wiredu B. 19. Boateng M. 28. Curtis R. 17. Watts C. 9. Tolaj L.
Substitutes
. Balmer K. 14. De Havilland R. 19. Harrison E. 6. Mola C. 13. Young B. (G)	39. Finn T. 22. Galloway B. 1. Hazard C. (G) 7. Paterson J. 27. Pepple A. 32. Ralls J. 6. Szucs K.
Coaches
Evans S.	Cleverley T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Watts C. ⚽, Amaechi X. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Forde S. ⚽, Cavegn F. (A),
39', 2 - 1, Cavegn F. ⚽, Conteh K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Sorinola M. ↓, Galloway B. ↑,
46', 2 - 2, Galloway B. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
50', 2 - 3, Tolaj L. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
59', Watts C. ↓, Pepple A. ↑,
61', 3 - 3, Thomas L. ⚽,
62', Hutchinson I. 🟨,
66', Boateng M. 🟨,
72', Wiredu B. ↓, Ralls J. ↑,
75', Hutchinson I. ↓, De Havilland R. ↑,
82', Amaechi X. ↓, Paterson J. ↑,
82', Thomas L. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
83', Senior J. ↓, Balmer K. ↑,
89', Balmer K. 🟨,
90+1', Galloway B. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 4, Pepple A. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
90+6', Lockyer T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 2.

Recent form of Bristol Rovers has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Plymouth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Plymouth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Plymouth will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).

Outrights of English EFL Trophy for now

Plymouth: 3.78% Bristol Rovers: 1.57%

Last Results with these Odds

Bristol Rovers - the odds 3.19 are the expected chance of winning is 28.52%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English League Two
01.01.26	Shrewsbury Town - Bristol Rovers	0:3 ✺
29.12.25	Bristol Rovers - Barnet	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Bristol Rovers - Bromley	2:3 ✺
19.12.25	Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLTL
- Plymouth Argyle
English League One
04.01.26	Plymouth Argyle - Burton Albion	3:0 ✺
01.01.26	Stevenage Borough - Plymouth Argyle	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Plymouth Argyle - Wycombe Wanderers	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Plymouth Argyle - Reading	1:4 ✺
20.12.25	Doncaster Rovers - Plymouth Argyle	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle	1:0
Club Friendly
30.07.24	Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle	2:1
English League One
25.04.23	Plymouth Argyle - Bristol Rovers	2:0
English EFL Trophy
10.01.23	Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle	0:2
English League One
22.10.22	Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle	2:2
English EFL Trophy
30.08.22	Plymouth Argyle - Bristol Rovers	2:1 penalties
English League One
20.03.21	Plymouth Argyle - Bristol Rovers	2:0

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