Match Info

League Two - Round 15

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday

Location: Whaddon Road (Cheltenham)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Cheltenham Town		Notts County

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	2.01	Watch
	3.45	3.55	1.98
	3.63	3.6	2.08
	3.70	3.75	1.85	Watch
	3.57	3.44	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↓ (3.7)	3.57 ↓ (3.75)	1.98 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheltenham Town
26.4%

Draw
26.3%

Notts County
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

24.7%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

26%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Notts County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.5%	7.5%	75%

Cheltenham Town - Notts County Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 7 - 17.5%). Notts County will win (votes: 30 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 61.6% – 88.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - Notts County (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Notts County (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Notts County (3.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Notts County will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Notts County (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Day J. (G) 14. Broom R. 24. Sherring S. 5. Wilson J. (C) 27. Tomkinson J. 8. Young L. 26. Stevenson B. 21. Hutchinson I. 11. Thomas J. 20. Bickerstaff J. 22. Archer E.	1. Roos K. (G) 28. Macari L. 12. Ness L. 4. Bedeau J. (C) 25. Tsaroulla N. 20. Robertson S. 14. Iorpenda T. 47. Bennetts K. 11. Grant C. 26. Hall T. 29. Jatta A.
Substitutes
31. Adelakun H. 41. Diallo M. (G) 3. Harmon G. 4. Kinsella L. 16. Martin J. 12. Power D. 30. Willcox F.	23. Aljofree S. 19. Dennis M. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 36. Jarvis W. 17. Kouhyar Q. 8. Norburn O. 5. Platt M.
Coaches
Cotterill S.	Paterson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Jatta A. ⚽, Iorpenda T. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Hall T. ⚽, Tsaroulla N. (A),
45+1', Tsaroulla N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 2, Hutchinson I. ⚽,
67', Iorpenda T. 🟨,
72', Grant C. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
76', Bedeau J. 🟨,
83', Bennetts K. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
87', Bickerstaff J. ↓, Adelakun H. ↑,
88', Iorpenda T. ↓, Norburn O. ↑,
90+3', Archer E. ↓, Martin J. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 3.

Cheltenham has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Notts County's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Notts County may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Notts County is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Hamstring Injury) Bennett S. (Inactive) Cundy R. (Inactive) Miller G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Notts County: Gordon K. (Knee Injury) Luker J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cheltenham: Backwell T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Notts County: McDonald R. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 2.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 2.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Cheltenham Town - the odds 3.7 are the expected chance of winning is 25.08%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Notts County - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.17%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheltenham Town
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Cheltenham Town - Bradford City	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
28.10.25	Cheltenham Town - Tottenham Hotspur U21	3:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
25.10.25	Cheltenham Town - Walsall	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Newport County - Cheltenham Town	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Gillingham - Cheltenham Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.1 WWWWT
- Notts County
English EFL Trophy
04.11.25	Notts County - Manchester United U21	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Brackley Town - Notts County	3:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
25.10.25	Notts County - Cambridge United	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Swindon Town - Notts County	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Barnet - Notts County	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
21.04.25	Notts County - Cheltenham Town	1:2
29.12.24	Cheltenham Town - Notts County	3:5
09.03.19	Cheltenham Town - Notts County	4:1
17.11.18	Notts County - Cheltenham Town	0:3
06.03.18	Cheltenham Town - Notts County	1:1
18.11.17	Notts County - Cheltenham Town	3:1
11.02.17	Notts County - Cheltenham Town	2:1

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