Match Info

League Two - Round 16

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: The Wham Stadium (Accrington)

Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Accrington Stanley		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.05	3.05	Watch
	2.32	3.15	3.05	Watch
	2.35	3.25	3.23
	2.42	3.47	2.66	Watch
	2.32	3.13	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.42)	3.21 ↓ (3.47)	3.02 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Accrington Stanley
40%

Draw
29.1%

Bristol Rovers
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

26.7%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26.4%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Accrington (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wright O. (G) 17. Matthews D. 5. Rawson F. 14. Ward B. 2. Love D. 6. Coyle L. 4. Grant C. 30. Heath I. 23. Walton T. 11. Sinclair I. 7. Whalley S. (C)	13. Young B. (G) 28. Negru S. 12. Lockyer T. (C) 6. Mola C. 23. Southam-Hales M. 22. Conteh K. 24. Chang A. 27. Bilongo B. 7. Forde S. 29. Cavegn F. 19. Harrison E.
Substitutes
16. Bauress J. 18. Caton C. 28. Conneely S. 10. Henderson A. 1. Kelly M. (G) 8. Madden P. 39. Woods J.	48. English T. 47. Hill K. 25. Howley R. 4. Moore T. 10. Sotiriou R. 3. Sparkes J. 11. Thomas L.
Coaches
Doolan J.	Clarke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Heath I. ⚽, Whalley S. (A),
23', Chang A. 🟨,
26', Forde S. 🟨,
40', Walton T. 🟨,
40', Mola C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Bilongo B. ↓, Sotiriou R. ↑,
57', Walton T. ↓, Madden P. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Conteh K. ⚽,
60', Whalley S. 🟨,
62', Ward B. 🟨,
67', Harrison E. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Rawson F. ⚽,
77', 3 - 1, Sinclair I. ⚽,
79', Grant C. ↓, Bauress J. ↑,
79', Whalley S. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
80', Mola C. ↓, Sparkes J. ↑,
80', Southam-Hales M. ↓, Moore T. ↑,
88', Coyle L. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Accrington: Mooney K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Harrison E. (Injury) Kilgour A. (Inactive) Omochere P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Accrington: Whalley S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 1.6:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 2:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Accrington Stanley - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.36%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Accrington Stanley
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Accrington Stanley - Leeds United U21	3:2 ✺
English League Two
08.11.25	Chesterfield - Accrington Stanley	3:3 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Accrington Stanley	1:2 ET ✺
English League Two
28.10.25	Accrington Stanley - Tranmere Rovers	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTWTL
- Bristol Rovers
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle	1:0 ✺
English League Two
08.11.25	Bristol Rovers - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Bromley - Bristol Rovers	1:2 ✺
English League Two
25.10.25	Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers	4:0 ✺
18.10.25	Bristol Rovers - Tranmere Rovers	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
14.01.23	Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers	2:0
24.09.22	Bristol Rovers - Accrington Stanley	0:1
09.03.21	Bristol Rovers - Accrington Stanley	4:1
02.02.21	Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers	6:1
07.09.19	Bristol Rovers - Accrington Stanley	3:3
12.01.19	Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers	0:0
11.08.18	Bristol Rovers - Accrington Stanley	1:2

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