Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 22

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Cheltenham Town		Leyton Orient

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.2	2.55
	2.75	3.2	2.5
	2.8	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.92	3.3	2.57
	2.93	3.3	2.57
	2.7	3.25	2.45
	2.78	3.25	2.53	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.11)	3.25 (3.25)	2.52 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheltenham Town
33.5%

Draw
29%

Leyton Orient
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

29.1%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

29.5%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	10%	40%

Cheltenham Town - Leyton Orient Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cheltenham: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Southwood L. (G) 33. Davies C. 3. Williams B. 6. Freestone L. 2. Long S. (C) 8. Sercombe L. 23. Bonds E. 34. Pett T. 15. Ferry W. 19. Lloyd G. 9. Goodwin W.	1. Brynn S. (G) 8. Brown J. 5. Happe D. 19. Beckles O. 32. Hunt R. 18. Pratley D. (C) 15. El Mizouni I. 11. Archibald T. 14. Moncur G. 10. Sotiriou R. 7. Agyei D.
Substitutes
4. Bradbury T. 38. Butler-Oyedeji N. 10. Keena A. 21. Pardington J. (G) 25. Peupion C. 22. Smith L. 14. Thompson C.	17. Forde S. 22. Galbraith E. 13. Howes S. (G) 2. James T. 9. Pigott J. 23. Sanders M. H. 4. Turns E.
Coaches
Clarke D.	Wellens R.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cheltenham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Cheltenham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheltenham Town
English League One
09.12.23	Bristol Rovers - Cheltenham Town	1:1 ✺
28.11.23	Charlton Athletic - Cheltenham Town	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Cheltenham Town - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Cheltenham Town - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Cheltenham Town - West Ham United U21	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLWTL
- Leyton Orient
English League One
09.12.23	Leyton Orient - Derby County	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
03.12.23	Chesterfield - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
English League One
28.11.23	Bristol Rovers - Leyton Orient	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Leyton Orient - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
21.11.23	Leyton Orient - Lincoln City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
10.04.21	Cheltenham Town - Leyton Orient	1:0
03.10.20	Leyton Orient - Cheltenham Town	0:2
15.02.20	Cheltenham Town - Leyton Orient	2:1
03.08.19	Leyton Orient - Cheltenham Town	1:0
25.02.17	Leyton Orient - Cheltenham Town	0:1
06.08.16	Cheltenham Town - Leyton Orient	1:1

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