The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cheltenham Town 28.4%
Draw 28%
Wigan Athletic 43.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.4%
28.3%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
28.7%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cheltenham Town's form might have worsened.
Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wigan Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wigan Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
8.3%
75%
Cheltenham Town - Wigan Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Wigan will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Wigan: 50.5% – 99.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Southwood L. (G) 5. Bevan O. 33. Davies C. 6. Freestone L. 2. Long S. (C) 34. Pett T. 14. Thompson C. 8. Sercombe L. 3. Williams B. 11. Street R. 9. Goodwin W.
1. Tickle S. (G) 23. Rekik O. 6. Hughes C. 4. Morrison L. 5. Sessegnon S. 26. Adeeko B. 17. Godo M. 16. Shaw L. 19. Lang C. (C) 14. Jones J. 11. Humphrys S.
Substitutes
4. Bradbury T. 38. Butler-Oyedeji N. 15. Ferry W. 20. Harris M. (G) 10. Keena A. 19. Lloyd G. 25. Peupion C.
12. Amos B. (G) 28. Magennis J. 20. McManaman C. 3. Pearce T. 21. Smith S. 25. Stones J. 2. Watts K.
Coaches
Clarke D.
Maloney S.
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 17).
Recent matches Cheltenham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Wigan is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Wigan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Wigan have a series of home games.
Wigan will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Cheltenham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.