Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 19

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Cheltenham Town		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	4	3.75	1.85
	4.2	3.5	1.82
	4.5	3.6	1.78	Watch
	4.55	3.64	1.91
	4.52	3.63	1.85
	3.9	3.6	1.8
	4.45	3.64	1.78	Watch
	4.1	3.65	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (4.21)	3.63 ↓ (3.71)	1.83 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cheltenham Town
22.1%

Draw
26.1%

Oxford United
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

25.2%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

24.9%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	4.5%	90.9%

Cheltenham Town - Oxford United Predictions

Users Predictions: Oxford United will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Southwood L. (G) 5. Bevan O. 33. Davies C. 6. Freestone L. 2. Long S. (C) 34. Pett T. 10. Keena A. 8. Sercombe L. 3. Williams B. 11. Street R. 9. Goodwin W.	1. Beadle J. (G) 15. Stevens F. 28. Negru S. 4. Thorniley J. 3. Brown C. 18. McGuane M. 8. Brannagan C. (C) 7. Mills S. 20. Rodrigues R. 10. Bodin B. 9. Harris M.
Substitutes
4. Bradbury T. 38. Butler-Oyedeji N. 18. Chapman E. 20. Harris M. (G) 24. Horton G. 19. Lloyd G. 25. Peupion C.	13. Eastwood S. (G) 29. Edwards K. 19. Goodrham T. 6. McEachran J. 23. Murphy J. 16. Perkins S. 14. Smyth O.
Coaches
Clarke D.	Buckingham D.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 1.

Cheltenham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oxford in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Oxford is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Cheltenham won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheltenham Town
English League One
11.11.23	Cheltenham Town - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Cheltenham Town - West Ham United U21	0:4 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town	5:1 ✺
English League One
28.10.23	Port Vale - Cheltenham Town	1:2 ✺
24.10.23	Blackpool - Cheltenham Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLLWL
- Oxford United
English League One
11.11.23	Leyton Orient - Oxford United	2:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Oxford United - Chelsea U21	5:0 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Oxford United - Maidenhead United	2:0 ✺
English League One
31.10.23	Lincoln City - Oxford United	0:2 ✺
28.10.23	Oxford United - Wycombe Wanderers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
25.04.23	Oxford United - Cheltenham Town	4:0
27.08.22	Cheltenham Town - Oxford United	1:2
01.01.22	Oxford United - Cheltenham Town	1:1
18.09.21	Cheltenham Town - Oxford United	1:0
English EFL Trophy
08.01.19	Cheltenham Town - Oxford United	1:2 penalties
English League Cup
08.08.17	Oxford United - Cheltenham Town	3:4 ET
English League Two
03.01.15	Oxford United - Cheltenham Town	1:2

Upcoming Matches