Match Info

League Two - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: The Hive Stadium (London)

Referee: Woods M. (Eng)


	Barnet		Notts County

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	3.6
	1.98	3.55	3.45
	2.02	3.66	3.68
	2.03	2.67	4.79	Watch
	1.96	3.52	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.05)	3.38 ↓ (3.47)	3.83 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnet
47.6%

Draw
27.9%

Notts County
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

26.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.1%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Barnet - Notts County Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Notts County will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Notts County will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Evans O. (G) 5. Senior A. 4. Collinge D. 25. Tavares N. 24. Crichlow-Noble R. 18. Hartigan A. (C) 28. Ofoborh N. 15. Glover R. 10. Stead C. 11. Kanu I. 9. Ndlovu L.	1. Roos K. (G) 28. Macari L. 3. McDonald R. 4. Bedeau J. 25. Tsaroulla N. 20. Robertson S. 18. Palmer M. (C) 10. Jones J. 14. Iorpenda T. 26. Hall T. 29. Jatta A.
Substitutes
3. Galvin R. 12. Hawkins O. 6. Osadebe E. 19. Shelton M. 23. Smith K. 16. Winterburn B. 1. Wright J. (G)	47. Bennetts K. 19. Dennis M. 11. Grant C. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 17. Kouhyar Q. 12. Ness L. 8. Norburn O.
Coaches
Brennan D.	Paterson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', McDonald R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Crichlow-Noble R. 🟨,
46', Iorpenda T. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
53', Ndlovu L. 🟨,
64', Senior A. 🟨,
65', Jones J. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
65', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
67', Crichlow-Noble R. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
74', Jatta A. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
77', Ndlovu L. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
86', Bedeau J. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 1, Hall T. ⚽,
90+5', Hall T. 🟨,
90+6', Hartigan A. ↓, Shelton M. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 0.

Barnet has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Notts County's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barnet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Barnet will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Barnet: Slicker C. (Red Card)

There will not play in Notts County: Gordon K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:37. (average 1.3:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.5:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnet
English League Two
11.10.25	Tranmere Rovers - Barnet	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Barnet - Accrington Stanley	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.09.25	Barnet - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	2:1 penalties ✺
English League Two
27.09.25	Oldham Athletic - Barnet	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Barnet - Grimsby Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWTW
- Notts County
English League Two
04.10.25	Notts County - Oldham Athletic	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.09.25	Notts County - Barnsley	2:1 ✺
English League Two
27.09.25	Crewe Alexandra - Notts County	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Notts County - Crawley Town	4:0 ✺
13.09.25	Gillingham - Notts County	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.03.23	Barnet - Notts County	1:1
14.02.23	Notts County - Barnet	4:1
08.02.22	Notts County - Barnet	6:1
21.08.21	Barnet - Notts County	0:5
08.05.21	Barnet - Notts County	1:4
10.10.20	Notts County - Barnet	4:2
25.07.20	Notts County - Barnet	2:0

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