The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Swindon Town 42.9%
Draw 26.3%
Notts County 30.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.4%
26.4%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
26.4%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
8.3%
16.7%
Swindon Town - Notts County Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Notts County will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 50.5% โ 99.5%.
1. Ripley C. (G) 5. Wright W. (C) 22. Knight-Lebel J. 16. Wilson-Brown T. 33. McGregor J. 7. Nichols T. 18. Kilkenny G. 26. Munroe F. 44. Oldaker D. 28. Palmer O. 23. Drinan A.
1. Roos K. (G) 28. Macari L. 3. McDonald R. 4. Bedeau J. 25. Tsaroulla N. 20. Robertson S. 18. Palmer M. (C) 10. Jones J. 26. Hall T. 11. Grant C. 29. Jatta A.
Substitutes
31. Bodin B. 4. Delaney R. 20. Ehibhatiomhan P. 9. Glatzel P. 3. Mabete F. 19. Snowdon J. 12. Ward L. (G)
47. Bennetts K. 19. Dennis M. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 14. Iorpenda T. 17. Kouhyar Q. 12. Ness L. 8. Norburn O.
Coaches
Holloway I.
Paterson M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Grant C. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Drinan A. ⚽,
21', McDonald R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Robertson S. 🟨,
62', 1 - 2, Jatta A. ⚽, Grant C. (A),
63', Jatta A. 🟨,
66', Hall T. ↓, Iorpenda T. ↑,
67', Jatta A. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
74', Nichols T. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
74', Palmer O. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
74', McGregor J. ↓, Snowdon J. ↑,
75', Robertson S. ↓, Norburn O. ↑,
75', Jones J. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
76', Norburn O. 🟨,
78', 2 - 2, Drinan A. ⚽, Glatzel P. (A),
81', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
82', Knight-Lebel J. ↓, Mabete F. ↑,
84', Oldaker D. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
90+3', Bodin B. 🟨,
90+8', Mabete F. 🟨,
Preview
Postponed due to international match.
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2.
Swindon is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Notts County's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Swindon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Swindon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.7:0.6).
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Ripley C. (G) 
Knight-Lebel J. 
Kilkenny G. 
Roos K. (G) 
Macari L. 
Bedeau J. 
Tsaroulla N. 
Jones J. 
Jatta A. 
Bodin B. 
Glatzel P. 
Mabete F. 
Kouhyar Q. 
Paterson M. 
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