The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newport County 36.3%
Draw 29.5%
Cheltenham Town 34.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
27.2%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
25.4%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newport County's form might have worsened.
Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
16.7%
33.3%
Newport County - Cheltenham Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Wright J. (G) 22. Ogunneye H. 15. Jenkins L. (C) 32. Warner J. 12. Thomas J. 44. Braybrooke S. 11. Antwi C. 7. Kamwa B. 14. Whitmore K. 21. Spellman M. 9. Baker-Richardson C.
1. Day J. (G) 2. Jude-Boyd A. 5. Wilson J. (C) 24. Sherring S. 27. Tomkinson J. 8. Young L. 26. Stevenson B. 21. Hutchinson I. 11. Thomas J. 20. Bickerstaff J. 22. Archer E.
Substitutes
6. Brennan C. 5. Clarke J. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 2. Evans C. 19. Garner G. 23. Reindorf M. 1. Tzanev N. (G)
14. Broom R. 41. Diallo M. (G) 3. Harmon G. 4. Kinsella L. 16. Martin J. 12. Power D. 15. Taylor T.
Coaches
Hughes D.
Cotterill S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Young L. ⚽,
39', Warner J. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Hutchinson I. 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Young L. ⚽,
62', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
63', Spellman M. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
71', Ogunneye H. 🟨,
76', Bickerstaff J. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
77', Thomas J. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
82', Archer E. ↓, Harmon G. ↑,
87', Hutchinson I. ↓, Kinsella L. ↑,
90+4', Garner G. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2.
Newport has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cheltenham's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Newport might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Newport: Lloyd B.
(International duty)
Patten K.
(Broken Leg)
Shephard L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Smith M.
(Back Injury)
Tzanev N.
(International duty)
There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Bennett S.
(Inactive)
Cundy R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Miller G.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Newport: Ogunneye H.
(Injury)
Thomas J.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newport won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
Watch
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Wright J. (G) 
Jenkins L. (C) 
Kamwa B. 
Jude-Boyd A. 
Tomkinson J. 
Brennan C. 
Tzanev N. (G) 
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