The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cheltenham Town 59.2%
Draw 25.4%
Southend United 15.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.5%
24.1%
15.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
14.9%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
The chances for Southend United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-21.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cheltenham Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Southend United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.1%
13.8%
24.1%
Cheltenham Town - Southend United Predictions
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 18 - 62.1%). Southend will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cheltenham: 44.4% – 79.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to League One and 22).
Cheltenham has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (28%), has a good chance of promoted (70%), has a chance of win league (29%).
Southend has a good chance of relegated (52%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Cheltenham is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Southend is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Cheltenham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Cheltenham have a series of guest games.
In this match Cheltenham is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Cheltenham to win the game is with odds 1.6.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Cheltenham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.
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