Match Info

Date: 9 February 2021, Tuesday


	Newport County		Southend United

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	6
	1.67	3.4	5.5
	1.65	3.6	5.8
	1.67	3.35	5.4
	1.71	3.54	5.87
	1.65	3.3	5.8
	1.73	3.54	6.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.61)	3.46 ↓ (3.75)	5.78 ↓ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Newport County
56.4%

Draw
27.3%

Southend United
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

25.2%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

20.6%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newport County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.6%	5.7%	25.7%

Newport County - Southend United Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 24 - 68.6%). Southend will win (votes: 9 - 25.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newport: 53.2% – 84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Newport has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (32%), has a chance of promoted (26%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Southend has a good chance of relegated (73%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Newport is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Southend has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Southend could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Newport is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Newport won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Newport won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport County
English League Two
06.02.21	Newport County - Grimsby Town	1:0 ✺
30.01.21	Harrogate Town - Newport County	2:1 ✺
23.01.21	Oldham Athletic - Newport County	3:2 ✺
19.01.21	Cheltenham Town - Newport County	1:1 ✺
16.01.21	Newport County - Salford City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLTT
- Southend United
English League Two
30.01.21	Port Vale - Southend United	5:1 ✺
26.01.21	Southend United - Bradford City	1:3 ✺
23.01.21	Southend United - Mansfield Town	0:1 ✺
19.01.21	Southend United - Cambridge United	1:2 ✺
16.01.21	Grimsby Town - Southend United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
08.08.17	Southend United - Newport County	0:2
English League Two
14.04.15	Southend United - Newport County	2:0
21.10.14	Newport County - Southend United	1:0
31.01.14	Southend United - Newport County	0:0
26.10.13	Newport County - Southend United	3:1

Upcoming Matches