The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Southend United 24.2%
Draw 27.7%
Bolton Wanderers 48.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25%
27.7%
47.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.5%
21.6%
60.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolton Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Southend United - Bolton Wanderers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 and 11).
Southend has a good chance of relegated (65%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Bolton has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Southend is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Bolton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Bolton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Bolton will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Southend won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Southend won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
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