Match Info

League Two - Round 35

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Exercise Stadium (Harrogate)

Referee: Yates O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Harrogate Town		Cheltenham Town

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.2	2.85	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.45
	2.38	3.25	2.92	Watch
	2.4	3.37	3.01
	2.46	3.29	2.79	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.88
	2.4	3.23	2.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.5)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	2.83 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrogate Town
38.2%

Draw
28.8%

Cheltenham Town
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

27.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

27.3%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harrogate: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cheltenham (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Harrogate (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cheltenham (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gray H. (G) 16. Headman C. 31. Heffernan C. 30. Gibson L. 3. Slater J. 38. Brenan T. 8. Morris B. 4. Evans J. (C) 21. Taylor E. 12. Acquah E. 22. Smith R.	1. Day J. (G) 2. Jude-Boyd A. 6. Cundy R. 5. Wilson J. (C) 27. Tomkinson J. 26. Stevenson B. 7. Deeming C. 4. Ashfield H. 23. Hutchinson I. 20. Bickerstaff J. 10. Miller G.
Substitutes
10. Bennett M. 11. Duke-McKenna S. 20. Faulkner B. 26. Horton G. 17. Sutton L. 7. Thomson G. 33. Waller S. (G)	14. Broom R. 9. Davison J. 41. Diallo M. (G) 16. Martin J. 21. Nurse G. 24. Sherring S. 8. Young L.
Coaches
Weaver S.	Cotterill S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, Hutchinson I. ⚽, Bickerstaff J. (A),
50', 1 - 1, Heffernan C. ⚽, Smith R. (A),
65', Ashfield H. ↓, Young L. ↑,
68', Deeming C. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
68', Smith R. ↓, Duke-McKenna S. ↑,
74', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
82', Miller G. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
86', Headman C. ↓, Faulkner B. ↑,
86', Acquah E. ↓, Bennett M. ↑,
90+2', Young L. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 19).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M. (Inactive) Bradbury T. (Injury) Cass L. (Inactive) Duke-McKenna S. (Injury) Fox B. (Inactive) Hill T. (Injury) McCoulsky S. (Inactive) Oxley M. (Inactive) Sutton L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Cheltenham: King T. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Cheltenham: 1.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Cheltenham	10	4	3	3	16:16	0	15

Last Results with these Odds

Harrogate Town - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.11%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrogate Town
English League Two
21.02.26	Harrogate Town - Bromley	0:0 ✺
17.02.26	Barrow - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Chesterfield - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Harrogate Town - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Harrogate Town - Swindon Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.6 TWTWL
- Cheltenham Town
English League Two
21.02.26	Cheltenham Town - Salford City	3:2 ✺
17.02.26	Bromley - Cheltenham Town	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Barnet - Cheltenham Town	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
13.12.25	Cheltenham Town - Harrogate Town	1:1
17.01.25	Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town	2:0
07.09.24	Cheltenham Town - Harrogate Town	1:0
08.05.21	Cheltenham Town - Harrogate Town	4:1
09.02.21	Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town	0:1

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