Match Info

National League - Round 21

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Forest Green Rovers		Southend United

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.1
	2.18	3.4	3
	2.29	3.53	3.01
	2.17	3.45	3.07	Watch
	2.19	3.37	3.16
	2.22	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.17)	3.43 ↓ (3.45)	3.06 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
42.3%

Draw
27.2%

Southend United
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

26.9%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

26.1%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Forest Green Rovers - Southend United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Isted H. (G) 11. Knowles T. 6. Mendy L. (C) 32. Kanu A. 24. Buyabu J. 8. Haughton N. 16. Bunker H. 7. McAllister K. 25. Whitwell H. 14. Clarke J. 27. Babalola T.	1. Hayes N. (G) 6. Goodliffe B. 15. Gubbins J. 3. Ralph N. (C) 17. Miley C. 2. Scott-Morriss G. 33. Boyes H. 28. Coker O. 10. Austin S. 9. Dallas A. 18. Spasov S.
Substitutes
20. Bamba Y. 17. Dausch A. 5. Inniss R. 1. McNicholas L. (G) 18. Moore I. 15. Moore-Taylor J. 21. Pemberton T.	30. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 7. Bridge J. 14. Hopper T. 23. Morton 99. Nwike J. 11. Walker J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Gubbins J. 🟨,
45', Whitwell H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', Dallas A. ↓, Bridge J. ↑,
65', Clarke J. ↓, Dausch A. ↑,
66', Mendy L. 🟨,
68', 0 - 1, Spasov S. ⚽, Scott-Morriss G. (A),
71', Miley C. 🟨,
75', Hayes N. 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Whitwell H. ⚽, Mendy L. (A),
80', 2 - 1, McAllister K. ⚽, Knowles T. (A),
81', Austin S. ↓, Hopper T. ↑,
81', Coker O. ↓, Morton ↑,
82', Haughton N. ↓, Moore I. ↑,
86', Buyabu J. ↓, Moore-Taylor J. ↑,
90+2', Boyes H. ↓, Walker J. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Forest Green is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Southend has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Southend may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Forest Green is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Forest Green won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.7:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Forest Green Rovers - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.81%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English National League Cup
25.11.25	Forest Green Rovers - Nottingham Forest U21	0:1 ✺
English National League
22.11.25	Wealdstone - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Forest Green Rovers - Gateshead	3:1 ✺
11.11.25	Forest Green Rovers - Tamworth	4:2 ✺
08.11.25	Aldershot Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWWW
- Southend United
English National League
22.11.25	Southend United - Altrincham	3:0 ✺
15.11.25	Yeovil Town - Southend United	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Southend United - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Woking - Southend United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Wealdstone - Southend United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
21.05.25	Forest Green Rovers - Southend United	2:3 penalties
15.03.25	Forest Green Rovers - Southend United	2:2
23.11.24	Southend United - Forest Green Rovers	2:2
English League Two
24.02.21	Forest Green Rovers - Southend United	1:3
24.11.20	Southend United - Forest Green Rovers	0:1

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