Match Info

FNL - Round 6

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Central Stadium (Chelyabinsk)

Referee: Shishkin P. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Chelyabinsk		Torpedo Moscow

	1	X	2
	4.41	3.18	1.98
	4.35	3.1	1.96
	3.76	3.16	2.06	Watch
	3.4	3.05	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.48)	3.12 ↓ (3.13)	2.01 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelyabinsk
23.5%

Draw
29.9%

Torpedo Moscow
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

30%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

29.1%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelyabinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Chelyabinsk - Torpedo Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Pereverzev M. (G) 72. Bem A. 19. Baytukov R. 50. Lystsov V. 70. Levin G. 6. Makarov S. 10. Gadzhimuradov R. 77. Samoilov D. 18. Kertanov K. 7. Safronov I. 29. Urvantsev M.	25. Soldatenko R. (G) 2. Bozov N. 4. Borodin S. 90. Roganovic B. 99. Shevchenko G. 24. Pogosov A. 97. Curic M. 17. Berkovsky I. 10. Tsypchenko D. 11. Apekov R. 79. Kashtanov A.
Substitutes
55. Borisov G. 74. Kacorri L. 99. Kamenshchikov D. 17. N'Diaye B. 33. Pokotylo D. 24. Pridava N. 23. Rogochiy B. 44. Rusyaev I. 93. Tuseev I. (G) 9. Zyryanov N.	8. Ajibona U. 84. Churilov V. 21. Galoyan A. 3. Ivankov A. 44. Kornyushin D. 58. Ladokha D. (G) 20. Okoronkwo J. 7. Yushin A.
Coaches
Pilipchuk R.	Storozhuk A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Bozov N. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Shevchenko G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
54', 0 - 2, Tsypchenko D. ⚽,
56', 0 - 3, Tsypchenko D. ⚽,
58', Urvantsev M. 🟨,
59', 🟨,
59', Safronov I. ↓, Kacorri L. ↑,
59', Makarov S. ↓, Rusyaev I. ↑,
70', 🟨,
71', Levin G. ↓, N'Diaye B. ↑,
74', Bozov N. ↓, Ivankov A. ↑,
74', Berkovsky I. ↓, Kornyushin D. ↑,
74', Roganovic B. ↓, Yushin A. ↑,
76', Urvantsev M. ↓, Kamenshchikov D. ↑,
88', Kertanov K. 🟨,
89', 0 - 4, Okoronkwo J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Yushin A. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 11).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Torpedo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chelyabinsk won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Chelyabinsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Torpedo Moscow: 5.22% Chelyabinsk: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Torpedo Moscow	12	6	3	3	21:9	12	21
15	Chelyabinsk	12	3	3	6	13:19	-6	12

Last Results with these Odds

Chelyabinsk - the odds 3.48 are the expected chance of winning is 26.97%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Torpedo Moscow - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.05%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL
09.08.26	Rotor - Chelyabinsk	4:1 ✺
02.08.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chelyabinsk	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Chelyabinsk - Nizhny Novgorod	1:2 ✺
19.07.26	Veles Moscow - Chelyabinsk	1:0 ✺
13.07.26	Chelyabinsk - SKA Khabarovsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLLW
- Torpedo Moscow
Russian FNL
08.08.26	Torpedo Moscow - Sochi	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Arsenal Tula - Torpedo Moscow	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Torpedo Moscow - Shinnik	1:1 ✺
19.07.26	Torpedo Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	3:1 ✺
13.07.26	Ural - Torpedo Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
23.03.26	Chelyabinsk - Torpedo Moscow	0:1
Club Friendly
07.07.24	Torpedo Moscow - Chelyabinsk	1:1

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