The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chelyabinsk 30.4%
Draw 28.8%
Spartak Kostroma 40.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.3%
29%
40.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.4%
28.1%
42.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
The chances for Spartak Kostroma have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Chelyabinsk - Spartak Kostroma Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
93. Tuseev I. (G) 21. Berdnikov A. 55. Borisov G. 10. Gadzhimuradov R. 27. Gribakin I. 18. Kertanov K. 15. Kochiev K. (C) 70. Levin G. 7. Safronov I. 77. Samoilov D. 29. Urvantsev M.
68. Gaydash M. (G) 21. Bugarin M. 69. Chursin K. 90. Kalmykov A. 18. Kamilov V. 17. Kaptilovich D. 10. Karaev D. 7. Malyarov K. 22. Nemchenko A. 13. Rubtsov I. 2. Tarasov N.
Substitutes
72. Bem A. 74. Kacorri L. 99. Kamenshchikov D. 1. Lomaev I. (G) 6. Makarov S. 17. N'Diaye B. 31. Pereverzev M. (G) 33. Pokotylo D. 24. Pridava N. 23. Rogochiy B.
3. Bugriev S. 70. Chervyakov R. 8. Demchenko N. 11. Ghurtskaia D. 73. Kirakosyan D. 6. Mohammadi N. 96. Mokhammad A. 82. Nikiforenko O. 66. Nikiforov M. 50. Shamov E. (G) 47. Tarasov A.
Coaches
Pilipchuk R.
Ashikhmin A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Samoilov D. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Karaev D. ⚽,
42', Kertanov K. 🟨,
42', Gaydash M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rubtsov I. ↓, Bugriev S. ↑,
52', Kamilov V. 🟨,
53', Samoilov D. ↓, Pokotylo D. ↑,
66', Urvantsev M. 🟨,
66', Karaev D. 🟨,
66', 🟨,
71', Kamilov V. ↓, Kirakosyan D. ↑,
71', Karaev D. ↓, Mohammadi N. ↑,
78', Gadzhimuradov R. ↓, N'Diaye B. ↑,
82', Chursin K. ↓, Mokhammad A. ↑,
83', Safronov I. ↓, Kamenshchikov D. ↑,
87', Kirakosyan D. 🟨,
88', Kochiev K. 🟨,
88', Pokotylo D. 🟨,
90+5', Bugarin M. ↓, Nikiforov M. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelyabinsk won 0.
Chelyabinsk has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Spartak Kostroma has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Chelyabinsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Chelyabinsk has had a series of away games.
Spartak Kostroma is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chelyabinsk won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.5:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Chelyabinsk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:9. (average 2.3:3).
Outrights of Russian FNL for now
S. Kostroma: 6.02% Chelyabinsk: 0.78%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
S. Kostroma
12
7
3
2
16:10
6
24
15
Chelyabinsk
12
3
3
6
13:19
-6
12
Last Results with these Odds
Spartak Kostroma - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.77%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Tuseev I. (G) 
Bugarin M. 
Kacorri L. 
N'Diaye B. 
Demchenko N. 
Ghurtskaia D. 
Mohammadi N. 
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