Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 18

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Central Stadium (Chelyabinsk)


	Chelyabinsk		Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk

	1	X	2
	1.59	3.89	5.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.84)	3.89 ↑ (3.2)	5.46 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelyabinsk
58.8%

Draw
24%

Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

28.5%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

29.6%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelyabinsk's performance.

Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelyabinsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Sugrobov V. (G) 87. Bozhenov K. 5. Gatin B. 33. Gorbachik V. 66. Gudkov Y. 18. Kertanov K. 37. Kosyanchuk R. 70. Levin G. 63. Nikitenkov A. 11. Nosov A. 77. Samoilov D.	22. Suvorov O. (G) 32. Abazov A. 13. Butenko A. 3. Khagur R. 11. Khutov A. 4. Machilov R. 8. Saygushev E. 19. Sharifullin L. 57. Tlekhugov M. 70. Torosyan S. 18. Volkov V.
Substitutes
10. Gruznov I. 2. Khozin V. 72. Novikov O. (G) 22. Pokotylo D. 15. Pushkarev D. 55. Rogochiy B. 8. Sokolov A. 74. Stanislavchuk E. 13. Tushin A. 17. Uljanovskiy V. 1. Zadiraka V. (G)	9. Abakarov M. 21. Bogomolov D. 6. Budagyan Y. 33. Domotsev A. 30. Saganovich D. (G) 5. Saidov A. 77. Shaikhtdinov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Bozhenov K. 🟨,
27', Gatin B. 🟨,
44', Samoilov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Saygushev E. 🟨,
49', Volkov V. 🟨,
51', Volkov V. ↓, Saidov A. ↑,
55', Kosyanchuk R. ↓, Pushkarev D. ↑,
55', Nosov A. ↓, Uljanovskiy V. ↑,
59', 0 - 1, Khutov A. ⚽,
60', Levin G. ↓, Gruznov I. ↑,
60', Gorbachik V. ↓, Sokolov A. ↑,
60', Bozhenov K. ↓, Rogochiy B. ↑,
61', Abazov A. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Gudkov Y. ⚽,
69', Butenko A. ↓, Bogomolov D. ↑,
69', Torosyan S. ↓, Abakarov M. ↑,
70', Sokolov A. 🟨,
76', Tlekhugov M. ↓, Shaikhtdinov D. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Abakarov M. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4)

Chelyabinsk has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mashuk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Chelyabinsk is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chelyabinsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
08.06.25	Veles Moscow - Chelyabinsk	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Chelyabinsk - Volgar Astrakhan	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	Torpedo Miass - Chelyabinsk	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Chelyabinsk - Rodina Moscow 2	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Chelyabinsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWL
- Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
08.06.25	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:1 ✺
01.06.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	0:0 ✺
28.05.25	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Kuban Krasnodar	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	Leningradets - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	1:4 ✺
18.05.25	Rodina Moscow 2 - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
02.03.25	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Chelyabinsk	1:2

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