The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chelyabinsk 58.8%
Draw 24%
Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk 17.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.5%
28.5%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.4%
29.6%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelyabinsk's performance.
Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelyabinsk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Sugrobov V. (G) 87. Bozhenov K. 5. Gatin B. 33. Gorbachik V. 66. Gudkov Y. 18. Kertanov K. 37. Kosyanchuk R. 70. Levin G. 63. Nikitenkov A. 11. Nosov A. 77. Samoilov D.
22. Suvorov O. (G) 32. Abazov A. 13. Butenko A. 3. Khagur R. 11. Khutov A. 4. Machilov R. 8. Saygushev E. 19. Sharifullin L. 57. Tlekhugov M. 70. Torosyan S. 18. Volkov V.
Substitutes
10. Gruznov I. 2. Khozin V. 72. Novikov O. (G) 22. Pokotylo D. 15. Pushkarev D. 55. Rogochiy B. 8. Sokolov A. 74. Stanislavchuk E. 13. Tushin A. 17. Uljanovskiy V. 1. Zadiraka V. (G)
9. Abakarov M. 21. Bogomolov D. 6. Budagyan Y. 33. Domotsev A. 30. Saganovich D. (G) 5. Saidov A. 77. Shaikhtdinov D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Bozhenov K. 🟨,
27', Gatin B. 🟨,
44', Samoilov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Saygushev E. 🟨,
49', Volkov V. 🟨,
51', Volkov V. ↓, Saidov A. ↑,
55', Kosyanchuk R. ↓, Pushkarev D. ↑,
55', Nosov A. ↓, Uljanovskiy V. ↑,
59', 0 - 1, Khutov A. ⚽,
60', Levin G. ↓, Gruznov I. ↑,
60', Gorbachik V. ↓, Sokolov A. ↑,
60', Bozhenov K. ↓, Rogochiy B. ↑,
61', Abazov A. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Gudkov Y. ⚽,
69', Butenko A. ↓, Bogomolov D. ↑,
69', Torosyan S. ↓, Abakarov M. ↑,
70', Sokolov A. 🟨,
76', Tlekhugov M. ↓, Shaikhtdinov D. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Abakarov M. ⚽,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4)
Chelyabinsk has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Mashuk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, Chelyabinsk is the team to beat.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chelyabinsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Watch
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Sugrobov V. (G) 
Gorbachik V. 
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