Match Info

FNL - Round 5

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Referee: Gusakov O. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	MATCH! Planeta
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Torpedo Moscow		Sochi

	1	X	2
	2.23	3.20	2.79
	2.34	3.21	3.17
	2.26	3.19	3.20	Watch
	2.31	3.00	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.69)	3.15 ↑ (3.04)	2.99 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Moscow
40.2%

Draw
29.1%

Sochi
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

31.4%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

31.6%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Torpedo Moscow - Sochi Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Torpedo will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Soldatenko R. (G) 44. Kornyushin D. 2. Bozov N. 4. Borodin S. (C) 99. Shevchenko G. 24. Pogosov A. 27. Orekhov A. 33. Camara M. 10. Tsypchenko D. 17. Berkovsky I. 79. Kashtanov A.	35. Degtev A. (G) 3. Soldatenkov A. 13. Kalinin I. 4. Litvinov V. 27. Zaika K. 5. Osipov A. 6. Kuzmin M. 44. Stojic N. 8. Ignatov M. 28. Magal R. 9. Fedorov Z.
Substitutes
8. Ajibona U. 11. Apekov R. 14. Burkhin E. 84. Churilov V. 97. Curic M. 55. Dubrovin T. 21. Galoyan A. 19. Isadibirov A. 3. Ivankov A. 58. Ladokha D. (G) 48. Mokrousov S. (G) 90. Roganovic B.	59. Bart R. 29. Ezhov R. 18. Kaynov M. 17. Makarchuk A. 33. Marcelo Alves 11. Meleshin P. 66. Metsiev A. 60. Nosatiy M. 97. Pasevich R. 85. Silev D. (G)
Coaches
Storozhuk A.	Osinkin I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Kalinin I. 🟨,
18', Tsypchenko D. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Osipov A. ⚽,
42', Kashtanov A. 🟨,
45', Camara M. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Borodin S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Soldatenkov A. 🟨,
58', 🟨,
60', Camara M. ↓, Apekov R. ↑,
64', Fedorov Z. ↓, Meleshin P. ↑,
64', Kuzmin M. ↓, Kaynov M. ↑,
64', Ignatov M. ↓, Ezhov R. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Magal R. ⚽,
80', Berkovsky I. ↓, Isadibirov A. ↑,
82', Zaika K. ↓, Makarchuk A. ↑,
82', Pogosov A. ↓, Galoyan A. ↑,
83', 🟨,
87', Kalinin I. ↓, Bart R. ↑,
89', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 2.

Torpedo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sochi's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Torpedo Moscow: 5.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sochi	12	7	2	3	21:14	7	23
6	Torpedo Moscow	12	6	3	3	21:9	12	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Moscow
Russian FNL
02.08.26	Arsenal Tula - Torpedo Moscow	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Torpedo Moscow - Shinnik	1:1 ✺
19.07.26	Torpedo Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	3:1 ✺
13.07.26	Ural - Torpedo Moscow	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.26	Sochi - Torpedo Moscow	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LTWWW
- FC Sochi
Russian FNL
01.08.26	Leningradets - Sochi	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Sochi - Arsenal Tula	5:0 ✺
19.07.26	Sochi - Spartak Kostroma	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Shinnik - Sochi	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.26	Sochi - Torpedo Moscow	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.07.26	Sochi - Torpedo Moscow	0:3
Russian FNL
17.05.25	Sochi - Torpedo Moscow	0:1
29.09.24	Torpedo Moscow - Sochi	2:2
Russian Premier League
30.04.23	Sochi - Torpedo Moscow	3:1
Russian Cup
22.11.22	Torpedo Moscow - Sochi	1:2 penalties
14.09.22	Sochi - Torpedo Moscow	1:3
Russian Premier League
17.07.22	Torpedo Moscow - Sochi	1:3

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