Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 34

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	MDR Fernsehen
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Chemnitzer		Viktoria 1889 Berlin

	1	X	2
	1.97	3.9	3.15
	1.86	4.45	2.91
	1.91	4.21	3.05	Watch
	2.01	3.52	3.16
	1.97	3.9	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.75)	4 ↓ (4.2)	3.08 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chemnitzer
47.2%

Draw
23%

Viktoria 1889 Berlin
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

22%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

21.5%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chemnitzer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chemnitzer's form might have worsened.

Viktoria 1889 Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chemnitzer than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chemnitzer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria 1889 Berlin than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Viktoria 1889 Berlin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chemnitzer - Viktoria 1889 Berlin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Damelang J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 1 - 1, Baumgart T. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chemnitzer won 3.

Chemnitzer is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Viktoria 1889's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Viktoria 1889 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chemnitzer is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chemnitzer won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Chemnitzer won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chemnitzer FC
German Regionalliga Nordost
09.05.25	Eilenburg - Chemnitzer	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	Chemnitzer - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Altglienicke - Chemnitzer	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Chemnitzer - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Plauen - Chemnitzer	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTWWT
- Viktoria 1889 Berlin
German Regionalliga Nordost
11.05.25	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Greifswald	1:1 ✺
02.05.25	Hertha Zehlendorf - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	5:1 ✺
26.04.25	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Berliner FC Dynamo	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Chemie Leipzig - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	4:0 ✺
13.04.25	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Meuselwitz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
05.02.25	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Chemnitzer	0:2
05.05.24	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Chemnitzer	2:0
25.11.23	Chemnitzer - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	2:1
28.05.23	Chemnitzer - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	1:0
15.02.23	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Chemnitzer	3:0
15.08.20	Chemnitzer - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	1:2
12.05.19	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Chemnitzer	4:2

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