Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 28

Date: 1 December 2022, Thursday

Location: Shuangliu Sports Center (Chengdu)


	Chengdu Rongcheng		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	7	Watch
	1.42	4.6	5.75
	1.4	4.7	6.35
	1.44	4.6	6
	1.45	4.83	6.53
	1.42	4.2	6.5
	1.41	4.9	6.4	Watch
	1.44	4.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.42)	4.65 ↑ (4.29)	6.32 ↓ (7.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chengdu Rongcheng
65.2%

Draw
20%

Guangzhou Evergrande
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

21.6%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

20.9%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chengdu Rongcheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.4%	9.4%	31.2%

Chengdu Rongcheng - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 19 - 59.4%). Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 10 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chengdu Rongcheng: 42.4% – 76.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

Guangzhou Evergrande has the most likely position - 1 (100%), has project points - 72, has currently - 72, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for acl, was already of win league.

Chengdu Rongcheng in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Guangzhou Evergrande is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Chengdu Rongcheng have a series of home games.

In this match Chengdu Rongcheng is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Chengdu Rongcheng to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chengdu Rongcheng won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Super League
25.11.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Guangzhou City	3:0 ✺
21.11.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shandong Taishan	2:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
16.11.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Hebei CFFC	3:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
12.11.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shanghai Shenhua	3:2 ✺
07.11.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Changchun Yatai	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWWT
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Super League
26.11.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:1 ✺
22.11.22	Shenzhen - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
16.11.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:4 ✺
Chinese Super League
13.11.22	Dalian Pro - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1 ✺
08.11.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Zhejiang Professional	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
12.08.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2

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