Match Info

Super League - Round 11

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park (Chengdu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Chengdu Rongcheng		Henan Songshan Longmen

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.5	6	Watch
	1.51	4.2	5.25
	1.47	4.55	5.5	Watch
	1.5	4.78	6.15
	1.48	4.67	5.81	Watch
	1.44	4.33	5.5
	1.51	4.79	5.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.48)	4.55 ↑ (4.54)	5.69 ↑ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chengdu Rongcheng
63%

Draw
20.5%

Henan Songshan Longmen
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

20.4%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

19.1%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chengdu Rongcheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Henan Songshan Longmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Chengdu Rongcheng - Henan Songshan Longmen Predictions

Users Predictions: Chengdu Rongcheng will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Liu Dianzuo (G) 4. He Yiran 18. Han Pengfei 28. Sorokin E. 11. Wellington Silva 16. Yang Ming-Yang 23. Liao Lisheng 2. Hu H. 10. Romulo 9. Felipe Silva 7. Wei Shihao (C)	18. Wang Guoming (G) 22. Huang Ruifeng 2. Iago Maidana 23. Lucas Maia 27. Liu Yixin 6. Wang Shangyuan (C) 15. Haliq Ablahan 7. Zhong Yihao 10. Bruno Nazario 13. Abudulam A. 9. Gustavo
Substitutes
27. Abduweli Behram 39. Gan Chao 29. Iminqari M. 1. Jian Tao (G) 3. Jojo A. C. 58. Liao Rongxiang 48. Li Moyu 22. Li Y. 25. Muzepper Murahmetjan 15. Ran Weifeng (G) 17. Wang Dongsheng 20. Wang Ziming	3. Gerbig O. 21. He Chao 5. Liu Jiahui 11. Muhmet N. 39. Osman Ekber 33. Shi Chenglong (G) 4. Shinar Yeljan 19. Xu Haofeng 16. Yang Kuo 25. Yang Yilin 24. Yin Congyao 29. Zheng Dalun
Coaches
Aloisi J.	Ramos D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Sorokin E. ⚽, Liao Lisheng (A),
34', Yang Ming-Yang 🟨,
45', Zhong Yihao 🟨,
45+4', Han Pengfei 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Gustavo (Penalty Awarded),
60', Felipe Silva ↓, Abduweli Behram ↑,
61', Abudulam A. ↓, Muhmet N. ↑,
71', Haliq Ablahan ↓, He Chao ↑,
71', Liu Yixin ↓, Xu Haofeng ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Wei Shihao ⚽,
83', Yang Ming-Yang ↓, Gan Chao ↑,
84', Romulo ↓, Wang Ziming ↑,
84', Han Pengfei ↓, Li Y. ↑,
85', Zhong Yihao ↓, Yin Congyao ↑,
85', Huang Ruifeng ↓, Zheng Dalun ↑,
89', Wei Shihao ↓, Iminqari M. ↑,
90', 3 - 0, Abduweli Behram ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chengdu Rongcheng won 1.

Chengdu Rongcheng has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Henan Jianye has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Chengdu Rongcheng is considered a favorite.

We predict that Chengdu Rongcheng will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chengdu Rongcheng won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chengdu Rongcheng won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	26	15	7	4	51:30	21	52
12	Henan Songshan Longmen	26	8	9	9	33:35	-2	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Super League
05.05.26	Liaoning Tieren - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Zhejiang Professional	4:0 ✺
21.04.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Yunnan Yukun	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWW
- Henan Songshan Longmen
Chinese Super League
05.05.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Liaoning Tieren	4:0 ✺
26.04.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Shanghai Shenhua	0:3 ✺
22.04.26	Qingdao West Coast - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Dalian Young Boy - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
31.10.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:2
Chinese FA Cup
19.08.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:1 penalties
Chinese Super League
14.06.25	Henan Songshan Longmen - Chengdu Rongcheng	3:2
21.09.24	Henan Songshan Longmen - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:0
10.05.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Henan Songshan Longmen	4:2
11.07.23	Chengdu Rongcheng - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:0
16.04.23	Henan Songshan Longmen - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1

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