Match Info

Super League - Round 10

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Olympic Sports Centre Stadium (Shenyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Spain	Gol Play


	Liaoning Tieren		Chengdu Rongcheng

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.33	1.62	Watch
	4.35	4.15	1.62	Watch
	4.47	4.46	1.71
	5.34	4.62	1.51	Watch
	4.2	4	1.65
	4.53	4.3	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.54 ↓ (5.13)	4.31 ↓ (4.44)	1.62 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liaoning Tieren
20.6%

Draw
21.7%

Chengdu Rongcheng
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

21.1%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

20.5%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Chengdu Rongcheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Liaoning Tieren - Chengdu Rongcheng Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Chengdu Rongcheng (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Chengdu Rongcheng will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Zhang Yan (G) 3. Pan Ximing 15. Felipe 6. Vagic P. 5. Mawlanniyaz D. 8. Yan Dinghao 18. Li Tixiang 11. Chen Binbin 7. Kouame A. 9. Mbenza G. 10. Kunimoto T. (C)	32. Liu Dianzuo (G) 17. Wang Dongsheng 28. Sorokin E. 22. Li Y. 11. Wellington Silva 23. Liao Lisheng 16. Yang Ming-Yang 2. Hu H. 10. Romulo 9. Felipe Silva 7. Wei Shihao (C)
Substitutes
1. Ablet Kudirat (G) 27. Gao Jiarun 35. Li Haoran 30. Pang Shenghan 36. Tian Deao 33. Tian Yinong 17. Tian Yuda 4. Tian Ziyi 16. Wang T. (G) 28. Xu Dong 34. Zhang H. 37. Zheng Jiacheng	27. Abduweli Behram 39. Gan Chao 18. Han Pengfei 4. He Yiran 29. Iminqari M. 1. Jian Tao (G) 3. Jojo A. C. 58. Liao Rongxiang 48. Li Moyu 25. Muzepper Murahmetjan 15. Ran Weifeng (G) 20. Wang Ziming
Coaches
Li Jinyu	Aloisi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Pan Ximing 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Mbenza G. ↓, Tian Yuda ↑,
67', Li Y. ↓, Han Pengfei ↑,
76', Wang Dongsheng ↓, He Yiran ↑,
78', Yan Dinghao 🟨,
79', Mawlanniyaz D. ↓, Gao Jiarun ↑,
79', Kouame A. ↓, Li Haoran ↑,
85', Felipe Silva 🟨,
88', Felipe 🟨,
90+1', Yang Ming-Yang ↓, Abduweli Behram ↑,
90+1', Chen Binbin ↓, Tian Deao ↑,
90+2', Yan Dinghao ↓, Xu Dong ↑,
90+4', 0 - 1, Felipe Silva ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

Liaoning Tieren has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chengdu Rongcheng is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Liaoning Tieren has had a series of away games.

In this match, Chengdu Rongcheng is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Liaoning Tieren: Jeffinho (Yellow Cards)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Liaoning Tieren won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Liaoning Tieren won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	26	15	7	4	51:30	21	52
14	Liaoning Tieren	26	7	4	15	34:47	-13	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Super League
01.05.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Liaoning Tieren	4:0 ✺
26.04.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Liaoning Tieren	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Liaoning Tieren - Dalian Young Boy	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Liaoning Tieren	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Qingdao West Coast - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Super League
01.05.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Zhejiang Professional	4:0 ✺
21.04.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Yunnan Yukun	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
06.08.21	Chengdu Rongcheng - Liaoning Tieren	2:0
17.07.21	Liaoning Tieren - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:6
Chinese Yi League
19.10.19	Liaoning Tieren - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:0

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