Match Info

K League 2 - Round 21

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Tancheon Stadium (Seongnam)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
International	K League TV


	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma		Cheonan City

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.10	3.30	Watch
	2.10	3.00	3.10
	1.89	3.25	3.55
	2.22	3.25	3.70
	2.07	3.35	3.54	Watch
	2.19	3.05	3.65
	2.19	3.16	3.37	Watch
	2.13	3.10	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2)	3.16 ↓ (3.45)	3.43 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
43.7%

Draw
29.3%

Cheonan City
27%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.1%

26.8%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

26.1%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Cheonan City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheonan City than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Cheonan City Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Seongnam will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Cheonan City will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seongnam: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lee Kwang-Yeon (G) 23. You Ju-An 20. Lee Sang-Min 4. Venicio 22. Jung Seung-Yong 2. Hwang Seok-Ki 14. Elionay 33. Park Su-bin (C) 11. Lee Jun-Sang 32. Yun Min-Ho 8. Lee Jeong-Bin	21. Park Dae-Han (G) 72. Cha Seung-Hyeon 20. Lee Sang-Yong 24. Kwon Yong-seung 27. Park Chang-Woo 77. Lee Kyu-Min 99. Bruno Lamas 4. Choi Jun-Hyeok 23. Lee Dong-Hyeop 10. Toungara A. 7. Lee Sang-Jun (C)
Substitutes
28. Joung Myung-jae (G) 18. Kim Min-jae 36. Lee Jae-Wook 17. Park Byeong-gyu 9. Rodrigo Angelotti 16. Ryu Jun-sun 10. Villero P. 19. Yang Tae-yang 5. Yu Sun	18. Ahn Chang-Min 70. Gustavo Sarjani 8. Her Dong-Min 5. Ko Tae-Won 11. Lee Ji-Hoon 17. Lee Ji-Seung 9. Lee Joon-Ho 1. Park Ju-Won (G) 94. Willyan
Coaches
Dong-hoon H.	Park Jin-sub

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Toungara A. ⚽, Park Chang-Woo (A),
12', 1 - 1, Lee Jeong-Bin (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', 2 - 1, Choi Jun-Hyeok (Own goal),
45+7', Lee Dong-Hyeop 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lee Kyu-Min ↓, Lee Joon-Ho ↑,
46', Lee Sang-Jun ↓, Willyan ↑,
46', Hwang Seok-Ki ↓, Villero P. ↑,
58', 2 - 2, Kwon Yong-seung ⚽,
66', Lee Jeong-Bin ↓, Rodrigo Angelotti ↑,
67', Yun Min-Ho ↓, Kim Min-jae ↑,
69', Cha Seung-Hyeon ↓, Her Dong-Min ↑,
69', Lee Dong-Hyeop ↓, Lee Ji-Hoon ↑,
73', You Ju-An ↓, Park Byeong-gyu ↑,
82', Lee Jun-Sang ↓, Yang Tae-yang ↑,
90+2', Toungara A. ↓, Gustavo Sarjani ↑,
90+3', 3 - 2, Yang Tae-yang ⚽, Lee Sang-Min (A),
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seongnam won 1.

In recent matches, Seongnam has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cheonan City's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Seongnam might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Seongnam won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Seongnam won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Seongnam	27	7	10	10	30:35	-5	31
14	Cheonan City	27	5	11	11	31:37	-6	26

Last Results with these Odds

Cheonan City - the odds 3.41 are the expected chance of winning is 27.12%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 2
01.08.26	Chungnam Asan - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Gimhae - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
18.07.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Busan I Park	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Pocheon	2:1 AET ✺
South Korean K-League 2
11.07.26	Daegu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWL
- Cheonan City FC
South Korean K-League 2
01.08.26	Cheonan City - Yongin	2:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Gwangju - Cheonan City	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
24.07.26	Seoul E-Land - Cheonan City	4:3 ✺
19.07.26	Cheongju - Cheonan City	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Cheonan City - Mokpo City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
25.04.26	Cheonan City - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1
08.11.25	Cheonan City - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:3
06.07.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Cheonan City	0:0
17.05.25	Cheonan City - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1
17.08.24	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Cheonan City	2:2
26.05.24	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Cheonan City	0:2
16.03.24	Cheonan City - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:0

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