Match Info

K League 2 - Round 20

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Hwaseong Stadium (Hwaseong)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Hwaseong		Daegu

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2	Watch
	3.10	3.25	2.00
	3.2	3.45	2.05
	3.37	3.76	2.06
	3.22	3.69	2.04	Watch
	3.25	3.65	2.01
	3.22	3.52	1.98	Watch
	3.15	3.45	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	3.52 ↓ (3.62)	2.02 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hwaseong
28.6%

Draw
26%

Daegu
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

25.5%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

25.7%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hwaseong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Daegu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daegu than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Hwaseong - Daegu Predictions

Users Predictions: Daegu will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim S. (G) 20. Park Jun-seo 15. Vojnovic A. 4. Jang Min-jun 22. Kim D. 13. Park Jae-Seong 92. Lee Jong-Sung (C) 17. Park Kyung-Min 11. Pllana L. 14. Kim Byung-Oh 7. Jegal Jae-Min	31. Han Tae-Hui (G) 20. Kim Kang-San (C) 50. Kim Hyeong-Jin 26. Hwang In-Taek 2. Hwang Jae-Won 30. Han Jong-Mu 29. Ryu Jae-Moon 72. Choi Kang-Min 10. Matheus Serafim 7. Darnlei 77. Kim Ju-Gong
Substitutes
16. Choi Myung-Hee 10. Demethryus 44. Ham Sun-Woo 90. Ilyuchenko S. 8. Jeon S. 97. Lee Rae-Jun 2. Lim C. 38. Park E. (G) 29. Son Seung-Beom	11. Cesinha 16. Dackers M. 1. Go Dong-Min (G) 8. Han Kook-Young 27. Jeong Heon-taek 25. Kim Dae-Woo 15. Lee Won-Woo 99. Park In-Hyeok 70. You Ji-un
Coaches
Cha Du-Ri	Choi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', Matheus Serafim 🟨,
4', Park Kyung-Min 🟨,
6', Park Jun-seo 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Pllana L. ⚽, Jegal Jae-Min (A),
40', 2 - 0, Pllana L. ⚽, Kim Byung-Oh (A),
45', Jegal Jae-Min 🟨,
45+5', 3 - 0, Jegal Jae-Min ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kim Hyeong-Jin ↓, Lee Won-Woo ↑,
46', Choi Kang-Min ↓, Park In-Hyeok ↑,
60', 4 - 0, Pllana L. ⚽, Kim D. (A),
60', Pllana L. 🟨,
62', 4 - 1, Park In-Hyeok ⚽, Kim Ju-Gong (A),
65', Kim Byung-Oh ↓, Ilyuchenko S. ↑,
65', 5 - 1, Pllana L. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Lee Jong-Sung ↓, Choi Myung-Hee ↑,
73', Park Kyung-Min ↓, Lim C. ↑,
73', Darnlei ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
73', Ryu Jae-Moon ↓, Han Kook-Young ↑,
76', Pllana L. ↓, Demethryus ↑,
76', Jegal Jae-Min ↓, Son Seung-Beom ↑,
82', Han Jong-Mu ↓, You Ji-un ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Hwaseong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Daegu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hwaseong won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Daegu	26	13	7	6	48:35	13	46
5	Hwaseong	26	12	8	6	41:27	14	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hwaseong FC
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Jeju - Hwaseong	4:3 penalties ✺
South Korean K-League 2
25.07.26	Hwaseong - Chungnam Asan	3:2 ✺
19.07.26	Yongin - Hwaseong	0:3 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Hwaseong - Yangpyeong	4:3 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
11.07.26	Hwaseong - Paju Frontier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWL
- Daegu FC
South Korean K-League 2
25.07.26	Daegu - Suwon	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Gimpo - Daegu	1:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Daegu - Siheung	0:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
11.07.26	Daegu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:2 ✺
04.07.26	Cheongju - Daegu	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
01.03.26	Daegu - Hwaseong	1:0

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