Match Info

K League 2 - Round 26

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Cheongju Stadion (Cheongju)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Cheongju		Incheon United

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.3	1.73	Watch
	5.25	3.6	1.53
	4.95	3.4	1.68
	5.17	3.48	1.81
	4.87	3.19	1.82	Watch
	5.5	3.5	1.57
	5.05	3.37	1.74	Watch
	5	3.4	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.07 ↓ (5.26)	3.41 ↑ (3.39)	1.7 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheongju
18.3%

Draw
27.2%

Incheon United
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

27.2%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

26.1%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheongju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Incheon United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheongju than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Cheongju - Incheon United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Incheon (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Incheon United will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Lee Seung-Hwan (G) 4. van den Avert J. 24. Heo Seung-Chan 39. Lim Jun-young 70. Choi Kang-Min 5. Kim Seon-Min 28. Lee Ji-Seung 36. Yun Suk-Young (C) 27. Ji Eon-Hak 10. Pedro Vitor 66. Lee Gang-Han	1. Min Seong-Jun (G) 39. Kim Myung-Sun 4. Kim Gun-Hee 28. Kim Geon-Ung 32. Lee Ju-Yong 11. Gerso 5. Lee Myoung-Joo (C) 88. Jung Won-Jin 18. Baek Ming-yu 99. Park Ho-Min 77. Park Seung-Ho
Substitutes
25. Choi Sung-Geun 17. Hong Seok-jun 1. Jo Su-Huk (G) 99. Lee Chang-Hun 98. Lee Hyeong-kyeong 11. Lee Seung-Jae 2. Seo Jae-Won	20. Delbridge H. 97. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 19. Kim Min-Seog 17. Kim Seong-Min 3. Lee Sang-Gi 9. Mugosa S. 8. Shin Jin-Ho
Coaches
Kim G.	Yoon Jong-Hwan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Gerso ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Park Ho-Min ⚽, Gerso (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Baek Ming-yu ↓, Kim Min-Seog ↑,
46', Ji Eon-Hak ↓, Seo Jae-Won ↑,
55', 0 - 3, Gerso ⚽, Park Seung-Ho (A),
56', Park Ho-Min ↓, Mugosa S. ↑,
56', Kim Myung-Sun ↓, Lee Sang-Gi ↑,
60', Lim Jun-young ↓, Lee Seung-Jae ↑,
60', Yun Suk-Young ↓, Lee Chang-Hun ↑,
68', Kim Geon-Ung ↓, Delbridge H. ↑,
81', Gerso ↓, Shin Jin-Ho ↑,
81', Heo Seung-Chan ↓, Choi Sung-Geun ↑,
81', Pedro Vitor ↓, Hong Seok-jun ↑,
85', Min Seong-Jun 🟨,
88', 0 - 4, Park Seung-Ho ⚽, Shin Jin-Ho (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1).

Cheongju has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Incheon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cheongju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cheongju has had a series of home games.

In this match, Incheon is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cheongju won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheongju FC
South Korean K-League 2
16.08.25	Cheongju - Hwaseong	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Cheongju - Bucheon	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Ansan Greeners - Cheongju	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Cheongju - Gimpo	0:3 ✺
20.07.25	Cheongju - Cheonan City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWLW
- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 2
16.08.25	Incheon United - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Busan I Park - Incheon United	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Seoul E-Land - Incheon United	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Incheon United - Ansan Greeners	4:2 ✺
20.07.25	Gyeongnam - Incheon United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
13.04.25	Incheon United - Cheongju	2:1
South Korean Cup
17.04.19	Incheon United - Cheongju	0:1

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