Match Info

K League 2 - Round 22

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Sungui Arena Park (Incheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Incheon United		Ansan Greeners

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.32	4.33	8.5
	1.38	4.25	7.9
	1.41	4.26	9.27
	1.53	3.64	7.07	Watch
	1.35	4.2	9
	1.4	4.37	7.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.3)	4.2 ↓ (4.86)	8.16 ↓ (9.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Incheon United
66.5%

Draw
22.1%

Ansan Greeners
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

19%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.3%

17.9%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Incheon United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Ansan Greeners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Incheon United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ansan Greeners than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Incheon United - Ansan Greeners Predictions

Users Predictions: Incheon United will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Incheon United will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Min Seong-Jun (G) 39. Kim Myung-Sun 4. Kim Gun-Hee 28. Kim Geon-Ung 32. Lee Ju-Yong 11. Gerso 5. Lee Myoung-Joo (C) 13. Choi Seung-gu 19. Kim Min-Seog 77. Park Seung-Ho 8. Shin Jin-Ho	1. Lee Seung-Bin (C) 6. Kim Hyun-Tae 25. Cho Ji-Hun 4. Jang Min-jun 33. Eduardo 7. Son J. 13. Kim Geon-Oh 22. Park Si-hwa 36. Song Tae-seong 17. Ryu Seung-Wan 77. Carioca J.
Substitutes
14. Barrow M. 88. Jung Won-Jin 97. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 17. Kim Seong-Min 3. Lee Sang-Gi 9. Mugosa S. 99. Park Ho-Min	66. Bae Soo-Min 8. Bruno Lapa 10. Felipe Saraiva 16. Jeong Y. 31. Kim J. (G) 99. Kim Woo-bin 37. Park Jung-woo
Coaches
Yoon Jong-Hwan	Lee Kwan-Woo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Gerso ⚽, Shin Jin-Ho (A),
45+3', 2 - 0, Shin Jin-Ho ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Ryu Seung-Wan ↓, Felipe Saraiva ↑,
46', Eduardo ↓, Bae Soo-Min ↑,
52', 3 - 0, Gerso ⚽,
55', 3 - 1, Kim Geon-Oh ⚽,
58', Lee Myoung-Joo 🟨,
59', Kim Min-Seog ↓, Barrow M. ↑,
59', Shin Jin-Ho ↓, Mugosa S. ↑,
63', 3 - 2, Carioca J. ⚽,
69', Song Tae-seong 🟨,
73', Park Si-hwa ↓, Kim Woo-bin ↑,
77', Cho Ji-Hun 🟨,
80', Song Tae-seong ↓, Park Jung-woo ↑,
83', Park Seung-Ho ↓, Jung Won-Jin ↑,
83', Gerso ↓, Kim Seong-Min ↑,
87', Kim Hyun-Tae 🟨,
87', Kim Geon-Oh ↓, Bruno Lapa ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 4 - 2, Mugosa S. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 and 12).

Incheon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ansan Greeners has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Incheon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Incheon is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Incheon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 2
20.07.25	Gyeongnam - Incheon United	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Incheon United - Chungnam Asan	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Incheon United	2:1 ✺
29.06.25	Gimpo - Incheon United	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Incheon United - Hwaseong	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLTW
- Ansan Greeners FC
South Korean K-League 2
19.07.25	Gimpo - Ansan Greeners	2:2 ✺
13.07.25	Ansan Greeners - Seoul E-Land	2:2 ✺
05.07.25	Gyeongnam - Ansan Greeners	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Ansan Greeners - Cheonan City	0:0 ✺
21.06.25	Ansan Greeners - Bucheon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
18.05.25	Ansan Greeners - Incheon United	0:2

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