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Current Win Probability
Incheon United 53.9%
Draw 25.9%
Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma 20.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58%
24.1%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.8%
22.6%
16.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Incheon United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Incheon United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Incheon United - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma Predictions
Users Predictions:
Incheon United will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
97. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 17. Kim Seong-Min 4. Kim Gun-Hee 20. Delbridge H. 32. Lee Ju-Yong 11. Gerso 5. Lee Myoung-Joo 13. Choi Seung-gu 19. Kim Min-Seog 9. Mugosa S. 77. Park Seung-Ho
21. Yang Han-Been (G) 7. Shin Jae-Won 20. Lee Sang-Min 4. Venicio 22. Jung Seung-Yong 8. Lee Jeong-Bin 14. Elionay 33. Park Su-bin 27. Lee Jun-Sang 9. Ruiz L. 70. Leandro Ribeiro
Substitutes
88. Jung Won-Jin 27. Kim Bo-Sub 28. Kim Geon-Ung 3. Lee Sang-Gi 1. Min Seong-Jun (G) 99. Park Ho-Min 8. Shin Jin-Ho
3. Kang Eui-Bin 11. Kim Jeong-Hwan 34. Park Ji-Min (G) 91. Park Kwang-Il 2. Park Sang-Hyeok 16. Ryu Jun-sun 74. Samuel Andrade
Coaches
Yoon Jong-Hwan
Jeon Kyeong-Jun
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
25', Choi Seung-gu 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Lee Jeong-Bin ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Elionay ⚽, Leandro Ribeiro (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kim Min-Seog ↓, Jung Won-Jin ↑,
46', Choi Seung-gu ↓, Kim Bo-Sub ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Jung Won-Jin ⚽, Kim Bo-Sub (A),
55', Lee Jun-Sang ↓, Kim Jeong-Hwan ↑,
70', Kim Seong-Min ↓, Lee Sang-Gi ↑,
70', Park Seung-Ho ↓, Shin Jin-Ho ↑,
71', Jung Won-Jin 🟨,
71', Lee Jeong-Bin 🟨,
75', Lee Jeong-Bin ↓, Park Sang-Hyeok ↑,
75', Leandro Ribeiro ↓, Samuel Andrade ↑,
78', Gerso ↓, Kim Geon-Ung ↑,
87', Elionay 🟨,
88', Venicio 🟨,
90', Park Su-bin ↓, Kang Eui-Bin ↑,
90+1', Lee Sang-Min ↓, Ryu Jun-sun ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 2.
Incheon is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Seongnam is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Incheon is the team to beat.
We predict that Incheon will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Incheon won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.8:1.1).
China
South-korea
World
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Kim Dong-Heon (G) 
Delbridge H. 
Gerso 
Mugosa S. 
Venicio 
Ruiz L. 
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